NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.9 [452]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (SAC): +11.9%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	1.1 [1054]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -29.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	48%	0.05	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.03	-0.14	0.03	14	47%	-0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.2,-0.29	-0.12	-0.14	0.03	21	43%	-0.16	5	-0.14	11	55%	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	10	76%	0.22	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	12	62%	0.15	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	25	50%	0.09	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	-0.04	16	30%	0.03	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.6	27.2	17.8	28.0	3.4	39.1	142.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.4%

NYK -3.9%

NYK -7.4%

SAC +2.5%

SAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.9	95.1	98.0	105.1
season	15.6	13.9		103.5	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.8		107.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	15.4	13.6	14.7	14.6
SAC	13.0	13.4	15.2	13.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-7	12	12.7	15.3	-2.66	14.5	13.5	0.97
Jerian Grant	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	0	-2	16.2	14.5	1.66	16.1	13.6	2.56
Langston Galloway	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-3	4	12.9	15.8	-2.98	13.8	13.7	0.08
Derrick Williams	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	4	-10	12.2	15.0	-2.77	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Lance Thomas	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-1	0	14.1	15.2	-1.12	13.0	14.6	-1.53
Sasha Vujacic	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.40	8	-10	18	13.0	15.7	-2.65	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Robin Lopez	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	7	-16	16.2	13.6	2.58	14.6	13.2	1.39
Arron Afflalo	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-1	0	15.1	13.6	1.44	13.7	13.8	-0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	0	-2	15.3	13.0	2.31	13.4	14.5	-1.04
Jose Calderon	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.8	12.6	3.19	13.9	13.5	0.46
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.3	1.56	13.8	13.5	0.33

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-12	26	14.2	12.4	1.76	15.5	12.2	3.35
Omri Casspi	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-2	6	13.8	13.6	0.16	14.8	13.8	1.01
Rudy Gay	81	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	13.6	14.4	-0.80	14.7	14.0	0.74
Rajon Rondo	84	87	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	0	2	13.6	14.8	-1.21	14.6	14.9	-0.38
Darren Collison	54	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.43	-6	8	-14	13.6	13.9	-0.33	13.5	15.9	-2.38
Ben McLemore	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-6	14	14.0	13.5	0.46	14.9	14.3	0.64
Marco Belinelli	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	13.9	13.7	0.22	14.0	15.1	-1.05
Kosta Koufos	32	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.22	-13	15	-28	13.3	14.0	-0.66	14.1	14.9	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.95,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.99,1	94.0%
CHI 70, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.8%
DET 73, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	93.6%