NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	7.8 [338]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (DAL): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	2.7 [570]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -17.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	11	62%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Motley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.06	0.00	14	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Tyrone Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	14	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.01	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	16	42%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	8	72%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	14	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	8	72%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.03	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	39%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	17	45%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	15	42%	-0.06	3	-0.10	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.7	29.8	14.7	29.2	1.6	35.5	141.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +71.5%

LAC -10.5%

DAL +0.7%

LAC -13.3%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	14.3	105.4	111.6	109.3
season	13.9	14.7		111.3	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		109.7	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	14.5	15.8	14.6	15.3
DAL	15.7	15.5	14.2	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	19	20	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-11	14	15.1	15.3	-0.27	15.4	15.4	0.04
Jerome Robinson	19	20	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-14	20	13.0	15.9	-2.85	15.3	15.4	-0.02
Johnathan Motley	33	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.17	-3	-5	2	14.0	15.9	-1.92	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Mike Scott	18	20	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-8	8	14.7	15.4	-0.68	15.4	15.4	0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-13	18	15.7	15.0	0.75	15.4	15.4	0.03
Marcin Gortat	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	19.0	14.8	4.23	11.9	15.8	-3.88
Sindarius Thornwell	13	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	3	-14	16.2	15.1	1.03	16.3	15.2	1.08
Avery Bradley	74	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-13	18	15.4	14.6	0.80	15.4	15.4	-0.07
Montrezl Harrell	58	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-3	-2	15.1	15.6	-0.53	16.2	13.9	2.22
Tobias Harris	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	-4	0	15.6	14.5	1.11	15.6	14.8	0.78
Patrick Beverley	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	3	-14	15.7	14.1	1.57	15.7	14.4	1.29
Lou Williams	48	49	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.18	-21	13	-34	14.8	15.8	-0.94	14.3	16.5	-2.19

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	65	65	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-7	22	15.3	15.5	-0.24	15.7	14.2	1.51
DeAndre Jordan	67	67	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-4	16	15.5	15.0	0.47	15.7	14.2	1.49
Wesley Matthews	62	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.49	6	2	4	15.5	15.1	0.47	16.1	13.5	2.63
Dennis Smith Jr.	70	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-1	10	15.2	15.8	-0.53	15.8	13.7	2.08
Dorian Finney-Smith	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-3	14	16.0	14.9	1.05	14.2	16.2	-1.97
Luka Doncic	68	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	14.8	16.7	-1.87	15.2	15.4	-0.26
Dirk Nowitzki	22	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	4	0	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Jalen Brunson	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	9	-10	14.6	15.4	-0.86	15.6	15.2	0.33
Devin Harris	36	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.15	-3	11	-14	15.8	15.1	0.75	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Dwight Powell	6	6	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.10	-8	16	-24	13.3	15.5	-2.17	12.2	15.5	-3.32
Maxi Kleber	30	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.14	-7	15	-22	15.5	15.3	0.24	14.2	15.7	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.51,0.66,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.2%
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.1%
BOS 97, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.6,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1	91.9%