NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	7.1 [402]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (BOS): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	2.3 [701]		LVP	Derek Anderson (LAC): -14.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	21	59%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	19	52%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	50%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	14	55%	0.04	6	-0.18	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	15	43%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Eric Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.05	-0.02	23	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	0.02	24	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.6	25.2	14.8	28.0	2.8	33.3	126.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -25.4%

BOS +13.8%

BOS +20.2%

BOS +39.2%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.2	93.6	101.1	101.7
season	15.6	14.7		95.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.3		103.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	17.5	15.9	14.6	15.9
BOS	13.6	14.6	14.8	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	55	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-9	11	15.1	17.0	-1.85	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Keith Closs	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	17.4	15.8	1.64	13.3	14.8	-1.55
Lamar Odom	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-6	5	15.9	16.2	-0.28	15.1	12.6	2.45
Michael Olowokandi	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-7	7	16.2	13.7	2.48	15.1	11.9	3.16
Derek Anderson	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-1	-5	15.4	18.3	-2.92	14.0	17.9	-3.86
Eric Piatkowski	42	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.8	0.15	15.1	14.4	0.66
Maurice Taylor	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	16.0	14.7	1.27	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Eric Murdock	39	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	2	-11	17.0	15.1	1.85	15.0	14.5	0.53

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-1	9	14.4	15.8	-1.37	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Calbert Cheaney	76	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.24	12	-5	17	14.9	14.0	0.89	16.2	14.8	1.41
Vitaly Potapenko	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	1	5	14.8	14.5	0.32	15.1	17.2	-2.03
Paul Pierce	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	3	1	15.5	13.2	2.38	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Kenny Anderson	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	5	-3	15.0	13.8	1.18	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Dana Barros	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	1	5	13.7	15.1	-1.31	16.6	15.7	0.86
Tony Battie	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	3	1	12.9	15.2	-2.25	17.7	15.4	2.26
Danny Fortson	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	4	-1	15.7	14.3	1.32	17.3	15.4	1.94
Eric Williams	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	14.5	14.8	-0.30	17.4	15.7	1.71
Doug Overton	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	3.0	14.8	-11.85	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Walter McCarty	45	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.02	-5	12	-17	14.3	15.1	-0.79	16.1	15.8	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	92.9%
WAS 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.92,1,1	92.4%
UTA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%