inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 91 Excitement6.5 [499] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +28.6%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback2.6 [751] LVPRichard Hamilton (WAS): -18.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.180.050.10-0.031457%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Obinna Ekezie0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.002100%0.0700.002100%0.02
Tyrone Nesby0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011454%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Popeye Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.01450%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.04-0.011359%0.132-0.15683%0.03
Michael Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.020.00-0.010.01367%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Felipe Lopez-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01657%0.033-0.092100%0.01
Gerard King-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18-0.09-0.11-0.011742%-0.052-0.13683%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.290.290.130.160.001966%0.2900.00967%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.070.12-0.02683%0.211-0.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.080.080.020.06-0.002152%0.111-0.03683%-0.01
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.001359%0.042-0.07683%0.02
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.00437%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.824.815.724.42.736.2132.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.2%
WAS -2.5%
WAS -6.2%
MIA +43.8%
WAS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game16.516.915.5105.8114.0100.9
season15.216.398.698.4
opponent16.115.296.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS18.315.018.015.116.5
MIA16.017.718.016.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Obinna Ekezie30280.30-0.801.10-0.0813-203317.616.01.5717.316.80.56
Gerard King29270.17-0.670.84-0.016-131916.016.8-0.7716.117.3-1.26
Michael Smith23240.00-0.500.510.15-5-2-316.416.6-0.2116.917.0-0.09
Popeye Jones22-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-6512.016.7-4.6510.517.1-6.60
Felipe Lopez5354-0.23-0.270.040.01-81-916.416.8-0.3416.817.2-0.49
Richard Hamilton5859-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-5316.117.5-1.4717.116.60.51
Chris Whitney7071-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-5-2-316.616.10.5217.514.33.16
Tyrone Nesby6664-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-103-1316.915.41.4916.119.3-3.19
Calvin Booth3535-0.630.13-0.75-0.36-92-1116.316.7-0.4918.116.11.98
Juwan Howard6466-0.680.18-0.86-0.27-147-2116.716.00.7316.916.9-0.01

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway67660.78-0.281.050.3714-72116.219.6-3.4517.314.03.32
Brian Grant60590.52-0.020.530.3752316.518.0-1.5716.616.40.15
Bruce Bowen61610.470.030.430.4416-516.817.2-0.3616.317.2-0.92
Anthony Mason80810.400.100.300.3134-116.917.0-0.0616.616.40.16
Eddie Jones71720.280.220.060.2225-316.618.5-1.8516.815.21.59
A.C. Green32320.080.42-0.34-0.0961517.816.41.4416.416.6-0.17
Dan Majerle35350.060.44-0.39-0.1570717.816.41.4016.116.9-0.83
Eddie House2424-0.080.58-0.660.01-310-1319.116.12.9715.017.1-2.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.92,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 123, WAS 1320.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,192.7%
LAC 88, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.44,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.96,0.99,0.98,192.4%
PHX 76, CHH 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,192.2%