NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	8.0 [218]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +30.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	2.9 [555]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -32.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	9	71%	0.23	2	-0.10	3	33%	-0.04
Tyus Edney	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	76%	0.15	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Minor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.05	-0.03	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	3	62%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Dee Brown	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	8	37%	-0.10	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34,-0.33	-0.11	-0.19	0.02	29	38%	-0.30	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.17	0.01	7	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	5	89%	0.17	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	61%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	-0.02	2	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.18	10	-0.32	9	67%	-0.04
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	9	56%	-0.03	6	-0.11	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.1	15.6	31.3	2.5	45.5	151.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.9%

CLE +25.4%

CLE +12.3%

BOS -28.8%

BOS -10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	13.2	15.6	100.0	107.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		100.2	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.1		97.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	17.8	17.6	14.9	16.6
CLE	13.4	14.9	13.7	11.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	57	58	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-16	26	16.6	16.7	-0.16	13.9	12.1	1.76
Chauncey Billups	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-2	-2	17.0	16.6	0.40	15.7	13.0	2.78
Greg Minor	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	21.3	16.1	5.21	11.9	13.3	-1.44
Bruce Bowen	26	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-5	4	17.0	16.5	0.45	12.6	13.4	-0.79
Tyus Edney	65	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-11	16	15.2	19.5	-4.28	12.4	14.7	-2.28
Pervis Ellison	55	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-10	14	14.5	19.5	-4.98	13.7	12.6	1.16
Ron Mercer	77	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-8	10	15.4	21.2	-5.76	13.0	14.0	-0.98
Dana Barros	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	1	-8	18.1	15.9	2.20	12.9	13.3	-0.39
Antoine Walker	90	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.1	24.0	-7.94	13.4	10.1	3.30
Dee Brown	42	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	8	-22	19.2	14.7	4.52	12.8	13.5	-0.74
Andrew DeClercq	22	23	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	13	-32	23.1	14.7	8.42	13.6	13.1	0.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	51	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.55	6	0	6	13.6	12.7	0.88	16.0	17.3	-1.28
Derek Anderson	77	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-2	10	12.5	16.2	-3.69	17.2	14.5	2.68
Wesley Person	84	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	4	-2	12.9	15.1	-2.15	16.4	18.4	-2.04
Cedric Henderson	84	85	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	13.4	12.1	1.27	16.2	19.9	-3.75
Shawn Kemp	63	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	6	-6	12.9	13.7	-0.76	15.2	19.4	-4.24
Mitchell Butler	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	1	4	13.6	13.1	0.51	19.2	15.8	3.37
Vitaly Potapenko	28	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	6	-6	14.1	12.8	1.33	17.7	16.2	1.54
Danny Ferry	48	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.19	5	1	4	13.0	13.4	-0.40	18.4	14.8	3.57
Greg Graham	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	7	-8	14.8	12.7	2.04	15.0	17.1	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.6,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.9%
LAC 98, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.51,0.66,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	91.9%
GSW 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	91.7%