NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	6.9 [433]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): +15.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	2.0 [694]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.05	0.04	3	133%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	55%	0.01	1	0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Slava Medvedenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	26	48%	0.00	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	11	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	22	49%	0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	18	56%	0.10	2	-0.08	12	75%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	8	28%	-0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	30.2	18.8	24.2	3.5	42.8	146.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.5%

POR +9.6%

POR +25.9%

LAL -6.6%

POR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.6	110.5	116.8	102.3
season	15.3	16.0		106.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	16.0	17.8	14.0	15.5
POR	15.1	14.7	15.6	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	40	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-7	8	15.1	15.7	-0.52	16.2	13.7	2.46
Slava Medvedenko	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	16.8	15.2	1.67	17.2	14.3	2.91
Mark Madsen	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-11	16	16.4	14.8	1.56	14.9	14.8	0.09
Devean George	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	16.2	15.1	1.05	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Lindsey Hunter	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	14.6	17.2	-2.54	14.2	16.2	-2.00
Kobe Bryant	84	84	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.3	11.5	3.85
Mitch Richmond	11	11	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.5	-0.41	11.5	15.3	-3.85
Derek Fisher	31	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	1	-8	17.2	14.6	2.54	16.2	14.2	2.00
Rick Fox	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	14.7	18.0	-3.30	14.2	16.9	-2.65
Jelani McCoy	7	6	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	1	-8	19.1	15.2	3.98	12.7	15.0	-2.34
Robert Horry	81	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.32	-12	6	-18	15.0	18.1	-3.07	14.5	16.5	-1.97

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-2	10	14.7	16.1	-1.38	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Shawn Kemp	38	36	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	14.5	15.1	-0.61	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Rasheed Wallace	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	15.1	13.9	1.19	15.6	14.7	0.97
Ruben Patterson	50	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-2	10	14.7	15.0	-0.30	16.5	14.3	2.20
Scottie Pippen	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	3	0	15.4	14.3	1.10	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Bonzi Wells	80	80	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	8	-10	14.6	16.4	-1.82	15.0	18.0	-3.02
Dale Davis	59	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	15.7	13.5	2.24	15.9	14.7	1.27
Zach Randolph	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	0.0	14.9	-14.86	0.0	15.6	-15.62
Rick Brunson	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	1.0	15.0	-14.01	2.0	15.6	-13.60
Derek Anderson	31	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	10	-14	14.1	15.2	-1.19	15.8	15.3	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.4%
UTA 93, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
POR 71, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.78,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	92.6%