NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	9.6 [119]		MVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): +24.8%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	3.3 [648]		LVP	DeAndre' Bembry (ATL): -34.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.23	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.00	11	84%	0.32	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	4	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.12	-0.01	10	77%	0.21	4	-0.27	6	67%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	15	37%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.05
Trae Young	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	0.00	20	44%	-0.21	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	13	42%	0.00	7	-0.34	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	6	100%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.2	0.20	0.21	-0.02	-0.01	18	72%	0.24	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.17	-0.01	12	50%	0.26	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	12	57%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	0.01	13	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.07
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.6	25.7	14.6	31.6	2.4	31.1	134.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.4%

ATL -0.8%

ATL -25.4%

TOR +55.6%

TOR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	13.3	14.3	97.1	98.1	109.3
season	13.6	14.3		107.2	111.5
opponent	14.5	13.9		105.9	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.0	15.2	13.5	16.1	14.1
TOR	13.3	13.1	13.2	13.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Dorsey	35	35	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.13	5	-8	13	14.1	14.1	0.08	14.1	13.0	1.14
Dewayne Dedmon	54	57	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-9	15	14.8	13.3	1.55	13.4	13.3	0.16
Justin Anderson	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-9	15	12.7	14.6	-1.92	14.3	13.0	1.27
Alex Len	49	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	4	-11	13.6	14.6	-1.01	13.8	13.0	0.75
Trae Young	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	14.7	13.1	1.63	13.1	13.8	-0.66
John Collins	77	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-5	7	13.9	14.6	-0.68	13.1	14.0	-0.86
DeAndre' Bembry	79	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	14.2	13.8	0.43	13.0	14.7	-1.74
Daniel Hamilton	32	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	15	-33	13.7	14.3	-0.58	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Vince Carter	28	28	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	4	-11	14.1	14.1	-0.02	13.1	13.4	-0.33
Jeremy Lin	73	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.49	-5	2	-7	14.1	14.0	0.08	13.3	13.5	-0.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	71	69	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.41	17	-14	31	13.2	13.7	-0.50	14.3	13.6	0.73
Kawhi Leonard	76	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-7	17	13.2	13.7	-0.54	14.6	12.7	1.90
OG Anunoby	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	13.2	13.5	-0.32	14.2	13.9	0.39
Fred VanVleet	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	13.4	13.2	0.23	14.5	13.2	1.29
Kyle Lowry	74	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	7	-11	13.5	13.1	0.41	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Delon Wright	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	-2	7	13.1	13.5	-0.44	13.1	14.6	-1.47
Pascal Siakam	77	75	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-2	7	13.1	13.9	-0.75	14.2	13.8	0.36
Greg Monroe	23	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	12	-21	14.5	13.0	1.44	13.0	14.4	-1.45
Norman Powell	38	38	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	0.02	-17	20	-37	13.8	13.1	0.73	14.1	14.1	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.24,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	90.5%
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	89.7%
DAL 105, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.45,0.42,1	89.7%