NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	8.6 [147]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +33.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	3.8 [262]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -18.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.00	6	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.00	11	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.04,0.03	0.07	-0.04	-0.00	24	59%	0.17	2	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	10	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Vincent Askew	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.22	0.00	9	83%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.09
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	16	63%	0.30	2	-0.07	11	64%	-0.05
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.11	0.00	12	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	8	30%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	12	38%	-0.13	2	-0.06	5	60%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.4	15.5	25.2	1.8	40.5	133.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -11.3%

MIN +30.0%

POR -1.5%

MIN +40.4%

POR -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.8	14.4	15.6	102.2	106.7	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		101.9	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	18.6	20.2	17.7	17.8
MIN	15.1	13.5	13.4	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	67	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-13	21	17.1	19.8	-2.65	14.9	12.9	2.06
Stacey Augmon	44	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	17.2	18.3	-1.04	14.6	14.2	0.44
Gary Trent	21	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	20.9	16.8	4.10	14.7	14.3	0.40
Alvin Williams	23	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	19.5	17.2	2.36	14.5	14.4	0.14
Isaiah Rider	79	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-11	17	17.3	21.3	-3.97	14.7	12.6	2.03
Vincent Askew	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	14.8	18.5	-3.72	14.6	14.4	0.17
Jermaine O'Neal	12	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	1	-7	18.7	17.6	1.03	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Kelvin Cato	21	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	3	-11	20.2	17.0	3.16	12.8	14.9	-2.12
Rasheed Wallace	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	0	-5	18.0	15.3	2.62	14.6	11.8	2.77
Kenny Anderson	78	77	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.32	-14	9	-23	17.4	20.4	-2.95	14.0	17.2	-3.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	47	45	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.59	6	-1	7	14.7	14.1	0.54	18.0	17.5	0.50
Tom Gugliotta	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-3	11	14.6	13.8	0.86	18.1	16.7	1.39
Kevin Garnett	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.39	1	4	-3	14.0	16.2	-2.22	16.9	22.1	-5.16
Stephon Marbury	72	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	6	-7	14.6	13.8	0.81	17.2	20.1	-2.90
Cherokee Parks	20	21	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-1	7	12.7	14.9	-2.21	20.5	16.9	3.60
Stanley Roberts	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	11	-17	15.1	12.6	2.58	17.5	18.4	-0.87
Tom Hammonds	2	1	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	17.5	14.4	3.15	16.0	17.8	-1.80
Reggie Jordan	19	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	13.7	14.6	-0.87	20.0	17.1	2.87
Terry Porter	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	2	1	14.4	14.4	0.00	19.3	17.2	2.15
Chris Carr	56	56	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.19	0	5	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.64	16.9	19.2	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,1	91.3%
SAC 92, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.16,1	90.5%
ATL 101, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.46,0.25,0.54,0.24,0.42,1	90.5%