NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	12.6 [7]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +21.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	6.0 [191]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): -21.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,0.08	-0.10	0.18	0.01	17	42%	0.26	4	-0.18	11	64%	-0.04
Donte Greene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17	-0.00	-0.17	0.00	7	43%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	17	29%	-0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0.02,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	20	47%	-0.07	3	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.2,-0.45,0.22	0.22	-0.03	0.28	0.03	21	49%	0.48	4	-0.26	5	100%	0.24
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.20	-0.00	10	58%	0.28	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	10	41%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.08
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	14	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	21	43%	-0.05	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	0.7	28.8	15.8	27.9	1.8	36.3	139.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -9.5%

CLE +88.8%

SAC -25.7%

SAC -5.6%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.6	100.0	100.0	102.8
season	14.9	15.5		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.1		107.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	16.5	19.3	14.3	16.0
CLE	15.6	15.5	14.3	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	29	30	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.14	6	-7	13	16.7	15.7	1.06	15.3	15.1	0.24
Jimmer Fredette	10	9	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.51	-7	6	-13	17.0	15.9	1.12	9.1	15.8	-6.67
Charles Hayes	36	37	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-4	7	15.9	16.0	-0.09	14.5	15.6	-1.04
Jason Thompson	30	31	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.02	5	-6	11	16.0	16.0	-0.05	17.1	14.2	2.89
Isaiah Thomas	83	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.60	11	-12	23	15.5	20.9	-5.42	15.7	9.7	6.06
Marcus Thornton	88	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.55	7	-8	15	15.6	25.7	-10.19	15.3	10.5	4.85
Donte Greene	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	8	-17	14.8	16.6	-1.82	15.1	15.2	-0.12
John Salmons	36	36	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.70	-3	2	-5	17.0	15.4	1.64	15.1	15.2	-0.05
DeMarcus Cousins	50	49	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.60	-7	6	-13	16.7	15.1	1.62	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Tyreke Evans	66	68	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.54	-11	10	-21	16.3	15.2	1.07	14.7	16.4	-1.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	73	74	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.62	11	-10	21	14.9	15.9	-1.03	16.7	13.2	3.45
Alonzo Gee	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-4	9	14.7	18.2	-3.57	16.4	12.7	3.72
Ramon Sessions	72	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-6	13	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.6	17.2	-1.55
Tristan Thompson	61	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-3	7	14.6	16.2	-1.64	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Kyrie Irving	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.52	-4	5	-9	15.3	14.7	0.56	16.3	14.8	1.53
Ryan Hollins	23	21	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	1	-1	16.2	14.8	1.37	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Omri Casspi	53	53	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	6	-11	15.7	14.4	1.34	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Semih Erden	29	31	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.09	-13	14	-27	16.1	14.7	1.35	15.8	16.1	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	90.5%
CHI 113, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.47,0.41,1	89.6%
IND 119, NYK 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.26,1	89.6%