NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	8.6 [173]		MVP	Dion Glover (ATL): +28.3%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	3.7 [309]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -28.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	11	48%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	4	36%	-0.22	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.09
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.28	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	29	45%	-0.26	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.18	-0.00	10	82%	0.45	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	14	68%	0.23	6	-0.20	6	100%	0.04
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	19	48%	-0.05	5	-0.22	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.7	29.2	15.3	25.4	2.7	34.3	128.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +98.1%

IND -1.8%

IND -2.5%

IND -45.4%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	18.2	13.6	15.5	97.8	102.2	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	17.6	18.1	19.4	18.2
ATL	13.7	12.9	13.2	14.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	25	25	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.17	6	-9	15	18.8	18.0	0.81	13.0	13.9	-0.92
Austin Croshere	33	33	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-6	9	17.4	18.6	-1.27	14.5	13.1	1.41
Jonathan Bender	26	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-1	-1	18.4	18.1	0.29	14.5	13.3	1.25
Jamaal Tinsley	57	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-11	19	19.3	16.3	2.96	13.7	13.5	0.22
Ron Mercer	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	18.1	18.3	-0.20	14.2	13.2	1.00
Jermaine O'Neal	71	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	18.4	17.3	1.12	13.5	14.0	-0.56
Erick Strickland	34	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	8	-19	16.3	19.3	-2.96	13.5	13.7	-0.22
Al Harrington	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-2	1	18.1	18.4	-0.29	13.3	14.5	-1.25
Reggie Miller	54	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-2	1	18.3	18.0	0.25	12.9	14.8	-1.93
Brad Miller	54	54	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.46	-16	13	-29	18.1	18.4	-0.30	13.9	13.2	0.76

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	73	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-8	19	13.5	14.1	-0.54	18.1	18.4	-0.30
Theo Ratliff	70	71	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.51	8	-5	13	13.1	15.3	-2.22	18.5	17.0	1.44
Dion Glover	72	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	13.3	14.7	-1.37	18.4	17.3	1.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	4	-5	13.6	14.0	-0.44	18.3	17.2	1.16
Jermaine Jackson	17	16	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	4	-5	13.4	13.7	-0.26	16.4	18.6	-2.19
Jason Terry	79	81	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	0	3	13.6	13.7	-0.12	18.5	15.7	2.78
Alan Henderson	33	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	4	-5	14.8	12.9	1.89	17.1	18.8	-1.67
Ira Newble	29	29	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.10	-7	10	-17	14.7	13.1	1.63	17.8	18.3	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	91.3%
BKN 123, CLE 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.8,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%
CHA 123, ATL 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.55,0.55,0.58,1	90.2%