NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	123		Excitement	10.6 [64]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +71.6%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	3.5 [158]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -42.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.08	-0.02	15	84%	0.44	2	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	8	70%	0.18	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Frank Kaminsky	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	73%	0.08	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.06	0.02	14	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.11,0.08,0.07,0.04	-0.01	0.08	0.02	23	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Jeremy Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwayne Bacon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.72	0.72	0.19	0.54	0.01	11	91%	0.72	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.17	0.00	16	68%	0.35	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	10	80%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	2	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.29,-0.42	-0.42	-0.07	-0.34	0.01	18	47%	-0.30	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	26.5	14.7	25.2	2.6	31.0	130.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.6%

CHA -14.5%

ATL +4.1%

ATL +10.2%

CHA -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	12.6	14.3	117.1	118.1	109.3
season	14.6	13.6		110.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.3		112.6	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	15.7	15.4	14.9	14.8
ATL	13.5	10.5	12.8	13.9	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	28	27	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-4	7	14.3	15.0	-0.64	12.7	12.6	0.14
Malik Monk	52	53	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-5	9	14.6	15.0	-0.38	12.8	12.5	0.31
Miles Bridges	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.88	12.6	12.7	-0.11
Jeremy Lamb	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-2	3	15.0	14.5	0.44	13.1	11.9	1.18
Devonte' Graham	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	7	-15	14.9	14.8	0.09	12.8	12.6	0.22
Kemba Walker	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	15.0	14.2	0.85	12.5	13.0	-0.48
Marvin Williams	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	14.7	15.0	-0.33	12.8	12.1	0.66
Nicolas Batum	60	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	15.1	14.3	0.84	12.2	13.3	-1.12
Cody Zeller	59	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	15.2	14.3	0.83	12.5	12.8	-0.30
Dwayne Bacon	35	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	5	-11	14.1	15.1	-0.97	12.3	12.8	-0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	66	68	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-15	31	12.0	13.6	-1.60	15.5	13.5	2.06
Kent Bazemore	54	56	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.57	7	-6	13	12.2	13.1	-0.93	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Taurean Prince	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	-1	3	12.3	13.3	-0.97	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Alex Len	34	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-5	11	12.5	12.7	-0.20	15.7	14.4	1.29
DeAndre' Bembry	61	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	8	-15	12.5	12.8	-0.23	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Trae Young	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	-2	5	12.6	12.7	-0.18	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Jeremy Lin	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	12.7	12.6	0.08	15.5	14.2	1.26
Kevin Huerter	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	8	-15	13.7	11.8	1.93	14.9	14.7	0.20
Omari Spellman	31	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	7	-13	12.4	12.8	-0.40	13.5	15.3	-1.85
Dewayne Dedmon	47	48	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.13	-11	12	-23	13.9	11.7	2.20	14.4	15.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.55,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	91.8%
IND 89, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,1	90.2%
SEA 93, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1	90.2%