NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	8.7 [168]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +32.3%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	2.6 [767]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -18.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	16	66%	0.29	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.14
Mickael Gelabale	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	4	60%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	14	68%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.16	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.08	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andreas Glyniadakis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.32	0.32	0.02	0.30	-0.00	10	55%	0.39	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.16	0.01	19	55%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.06	0.04	16	58%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Blalock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	9	32%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	15	37%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.5	27.2	15.8	27.3	1.6	35.6	133.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -21.0%

SEA -16.5%

DET +56.1%

DET +25.7%

DET +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	15.4	105.7	112.8	104.5
season	15.4	16.8		105.5	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.4	17.4	15.6	14.2	15.9
DET	16.3	16.9	17.2	18.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	17.1	15.3	1.82	17.7	17.0	0.74
Luke Ridnour	61	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-9	14	16.5	14.5	1.97	17.2	17.2	-0.03
Andreas Glyniadakis	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-4	4	16.5	15.7	0.77	15.3	17.8	-2.45
Damien Wilkins	52	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-7	10	15.9	15.8	0.14	17.6	16.7	0.88
Mickael Gelabale	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-6	8	14.6	16.8	-2.16	19.2	15.8	3.39
Chris Wilcox	80	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	15.8	16.9	-1.09	17.2	17.2	-0.02
Johan Petro	45	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	2	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.13	18.1	16.3	1.85
Earl Watson	37	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	14	-32	15.8	16.0	-0.18	15.0	18.9	-3.92
Rashard Lewis	79	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.62	16.9	19.8	-2.84

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-9	22	17.5	16.7	0.82	15.9	15.9	-0.07
Dale Davis	41	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	1	2	18.2	16.3	1.89	14.2	17.3	-3.05
Richard Hamilton	65	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	2	0	16.4	20.0	-3.60	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Tayshaun Prince	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	16.4	19.9	-3.54	15.9	15.8	0.05
Chauncey Billups	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	1	2	17.4	16.8	0.56	15.9	15.8	0.16
Carlos Delfino	22	21	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	0	4	19.0	16.6	2.44	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Will Blalock	21	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	16.8	17.4	-0.56	15.5	16.0	-0.58
Ronald Murray	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	1	2	20.0	16.4	3.60	16.9	15.6	1.28
Nazr Mohammed	39	41	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	16.1	18.2	-2.07	17.2	14.7	2.54
Antonio McDyess	33	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	16	-28	17.4	17.2	0.21	16.6	15.4	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,1	92.6%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	92.4%
BOS 96, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.99,1	92.4%