NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	5.7 [731]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +21.9%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.6 [1177]		LVP	Vince Carter (ATL): -11.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.05	15	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.08	15	69%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Tyler Dorsey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alex Len	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	16	49%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
Justin Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.11	8	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.01	9	87%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	19	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	59%	0.07	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	27.9	15.0	28.0	2.5	25.5	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.3%

IND +4.5%

ATL -14.6%

IND +10.2%

IND +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.3	110.2	119.6	109.3
season	13.6	14.5		107.2	108.4
opponent	14.6	13.9		105.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	13.8	14.4	14.5	14.4
IND	15.6	15.0	14.4	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-8	8	13.9	14.6	-0.69	15.4	15.0	0.40
Tyler Dorsey	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	16.1	14.3	1.84	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Alex Len	52	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-11	14	15.3	13.5	1.85	15.2	15.0	0.20
Daniel Hamilton	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-8	8	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.0	15.7	-1.63
Alex Poythress	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	1	-10	13.9	14.5	-0.61	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Justin Anderson	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	12.5	14.7	-2.28	17.2	14.8	2.46
DeAndre' Bembry	54	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-8	8	14.1	14.8	-0.65	15.3	14.8	0.47
Jeremy Lin	40	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.17	-13	5	-18	14.9	14.1	0.78	15.2	15.0	0.14
Vince Carter	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.4	0.23	16.0	14.6	1.43
Trae Young	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-12	16	14.1	15.0	-0.93	15.1	15.1	0.06
Kevin Huerter	82	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.3	15.2	-0.97	15.1	15.1	-0.02
John Collins	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.0	16.0	-1.99	14.6	16.8	-2.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	69	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-1	10	14.8	15.9	-1.16	14.5	14.2	0.26
Darren Collison	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-3	14	14.2	16.5	-2.34	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Myles Turner	48	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	-8	24	14.4	15.8	-1.36	14.9	13.9	1.00
Thaddeus Young	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	6	-4	14.7	16.4	-1.63	14.7	13.5	1.19
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	14.7	15.9	-1.15	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Domantas Sabonis	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	7	-6	15.6	14.5	1.10	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Cory Joseph	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	5	-2	16.0	14.2	1.78	14.8	14.1	0.75
Tyreke Evans	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	11	-14	16.3	14.4	1.87	14.5	14.4	0.16
Doug McDermott	30	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	16.8	14.4	2.41	13.4	14.9	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, HOU 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DEN 88, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 92, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%