NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	5.2 [752]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +7.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.2 [1286]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -17.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	18	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	83%	0.13	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	8	45%	-0.03	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	14	25%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	50%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	14	59%	0.06	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	10	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	25.0	16.8	26.4	2.6	30.0	127.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.4%

MIN -2.9%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +10.8%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.3	91.1	105.1	106.0
season	14.7	15.7		100.1	107.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	13.4	13.6	13.2	14.1
LAL	12.6	16.0	13.1	17.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	18	15	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-16	20	12.9	14.3	-1.40	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Wayne Ellington	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-20	28	13.3	14.5	-1.29	16.3	13.8	2.53
Oleksiy Pecherov	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	11.3	14.2	-2.85	16.2	14.6	1.61
Sasha Pavlovic	47	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-9	6	13.3	14.8	-1.50	14.7	14.7	0.06
Ramon Sessions	47	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-10	8	13.9	14.3	-0.34	16.0	13.7	2.25
Corey Brewer	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-11	10	14.1	14.1	-0.01	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Ryan Hollins	32	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-2	-8	13.2	14.5	-1.33	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Al Jefferson	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-6	0	14.3	13.7	0.64	14.8	14.5	0.34
Jonny Flynn	54	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	14.3	13.9	0.34	13.7	16.0	-2.25
Damien Wilkins	19	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	8	-28	16.5	13.5	2.92	10.9	15.6	-4.67
Ryan Gomes	60	58	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	14.9	12.9	2.01	15.2	14.0	1.12
Kevin Love	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-4	-4	14.3	13.6	0.79	14.9	14.2	0.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	73	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.14	28	-16	44	13.9	17.1	-3.21	14.5	13.0	1.46
Pau Gasol	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	4	4	15.2	12.9	2.29	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Derek Fisher	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-4	20	14.2	15.5	-1.29	14.2	13.9	0.28
Kobe Bryant	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	9	-6	14.4	15.7	-1.34	14.3	13.5	0.82
Lamar Odom	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	1	10	14.1	15.6	-1.54	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Andrew Bynum	50	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	1	10	14.1	15.4	-1.31	14.8	13.3	1.50
Jordan Farmar	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	16	-20	15.5	14.2	1.29	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Sasha Vujacic	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	8	-4	14.7	14.7	-0.03	12.6	14.5	-1.87
Josh Powell	13	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	18	-24	17.2	14.3	2.82	14.1	14.1	0.05
Shannon Brown	33	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.20	-11	23	-34	17.4	13.4	3.98	13.7	14.3	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 74, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DEN 105, HOU 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%