NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	129		Excitement	7.0 [476]		MVP	Cory Joseph (IND): +23.3%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	2.3 [807]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): -12.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.01	7	87%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.04	12	78%	0.24	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.02	9	95%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.02	12	59%	0.17	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.04	-0.07	13	50%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	9	61%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	10	53%	0.05	3	-0.13	10	90%	0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.06	-0.02	25	62%	0.23	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	13	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.12	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	60%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	19%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.8	27.0	14.8	25.6	2.5	34.5	136.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.1%

IND +12.5%

ATL -7.0%

IND +8.3%

IND +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.9	14.3	121.7	116.3	109.3
season	14.5	13.6		108.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.6		112.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.7	13.5	15.1	13.1	13.6
ATL	13.9	16.0	13.7	12.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	65	63	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.13	23	-15	38	13.2	14.2	-1.07	14.6	12.8	1.75
Cory Joseph	51	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	1	6	13.4	13.7	-0.37	15.0	12.8	2.22
Victor Oladipo	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-7	22	13.4	14.0	-0.56	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Darren Collison	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-7	22	13.3	13.9	-0.59	13.5	14.5	-1.04
Tyreke Evans	41	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	13.5	13.6	-0.09	15.0	13.2	1.82
Thaddeus Young	78	76	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.4	0.24	12.5	17.5	-4.92
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	65	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	14.0	12.8	1.17	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Myles Turner	56	57	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	17	-26	13.9	13.2	0.77	14.2	13.4	0.76
Doug McDermott	30	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	15	-22	14.0	13.4	0.56	14.0	13.8	0.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	83	83	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-13	18	13.6	15.1	-1.54	13.6	13.3	0.28
Trae Young	64	64	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-13	18	13.1	15.1	-2.09	13.7	13.3	0.42
Kent Bazemore	67	69	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-14	20	13.5	14.5	-1.01	14.2	12.4	1.82
John Collins	57	59	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-19	30	14.0	13.7	0.26	14.6	12.3	2.35
Alex Poythress	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	10.5	14.0	-3.50	13.2	13.6	-0.38
Kevin Huerter	65	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-13	18	14.4	13.0	1.43	14.1	12.6	1.54
Justin Anderson	24	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-4	0	12.6	14.2	-1.67	14.1	13.4	0.67
Omari Spellman	17	15	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	15.9	13.5	2.48	11.5	13.9	-2.37
Jeremy Lin	40	42	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	5	-18	15.1	13.1	2.09	13.3	13.7	-0.42
DeAndre' Bembry	61	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.03	-21	13	-34	13.9	13.8	0.05	12.0	15.8	-3.80
Vince Carter	38	40	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.10	-21	13	-34	14.3	13.6	0.67	12.8	14.0	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.41,0.52,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 114, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,0	92.9%
ORL 112, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%