NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	112		Excitement	6.5 [485]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +16.9%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	2.1 [522]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -16.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	17	55%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	89%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.07	0.03	17	60%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.03	0.06	11	73%	0.16	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	16	55%	0.08	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	3	33%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	9	73%	0.19	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	47%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	14	63%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	15	42%	0.03	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.06	0.06	9	56%	-0.04	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	29.4	17.8	25.2	2.3	39.6	142.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.5%

ORL +7.5%

NYK -6.5%

ORL +15.8%

ORL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.4	109.8	100.0	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		109.9	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.6		109.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	10.7	16.3	15.0	13.6	13.8
NYK	17.7	12.0	15.7	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	38	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	14.2	13.6	0.59	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Carlos Arroyo	31	33	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	15.3	13.2	2.07	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Rashard Lewis	88	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Dwight Howard	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	2	6	13.4	15.1	-1.66	15.3	11.7	3.58
Adonal Foyle	37	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	15.4	12.9	2.41	12.7	15.5	-2.80
Keith Bogans	73	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	1	8	13.1	15.6	-2.52	14.7	13.9	0.79
Hedo Turkoglu	67	68	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	11	-12	13.2	15.0	-1.76	15.0	13.3	1.65
Jameer Nelson	71	69	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	13.2	15.3	-2.07	14.5	14.2	0.26
Keyon Dooling	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	14	-18	16.3	12.9	3.33	14.0	14.6	-0.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	70	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-8	6	14.9	13.3	1.57	13.8	13.8	-0.05
Malik Rose	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-6	2	12.0	14.7	-2.68	15.3	13.7	1.67
Stephon Marbury	79	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	14.3	14.9	-0.58	13.8	13.8	0.02
Quentin Richardson	88	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.1	12.2	1.90
Renaldo Balkman	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	12.9	14.9	-2.04	13.2	14.0	-0.76
Jamal Crawford	82	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.47	13.2	16.5	-3.33
David Lee	41	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	13.0	15.4	-2.34	14.2	13.5	0.68
Nate Robinson	42	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	14.7	14.2	0.42	14.7	13.2	1.57
Eddy Curry	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.8	10.9	4.88	13.5	14.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.3%
PHX 97, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
CHI 113, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%