NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	6.0 [569]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +17.9%
Houston Rockets	86		Comeback	2.1 [560]		LVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): -13.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.02	17	60%	0.20	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	14	73%	0.13	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	8	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	16	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	54%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	44%	-0.07	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	-0.02	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	24.3	15.5	24.2	2.4	29.7	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +12.6%

HOU -2.8%

PHX +18.2%

PHX +19.1%

PHX +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.6	107.8	96.6	102.5
season	15.0	15.7		105.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	14.3	18.0	21.3	16.8
HOU	14.9	15.7	17.1	13.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	56	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	17.2	16.1	1.05	15.4	15.2	0.21
Jason Kidd	76	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	2	7	17.5	12.9	4.58	15.6	14.0	1.65
Kevin Johnson	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	4	3	17.5	15.5	2.06	14.3	17.2	-2.93
Mark Bryant	27	28	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	17.3	16.6	0.76	14.7	15.7	-0.96
Dennis Scott	31	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	4	3	17.6	16.4	1.29	14.5	15.8	-1.36
Antonio McDyess	65	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	2	7	16.8	16.9	-0.17	16.1	13.6	2.50
Danny Manning	62	62	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	8	-5	16.2	18.1	-1.90	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Steve Nash	46	48	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	8	-5	14.5	19.2	-4.75	16.0	14.7	1.28
Hot Rod Williams	26	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	16.3	17.0	-0.69	16.6	15.0	1.61
Marko Milic	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	17.0	16.8	0.20	7.0	15.6	-8.56

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrick Rhodes	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-12	13	15.0	15.5	-0.46	14.5	17.3	-2.80
Matt Maloney	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-10	9	16.4	14.1	2.27	15.1	18.8	-3.72
Kevin Willis	44	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	16.2	14.5	1.74	17.0	16.6	0.41
Matt Bullard	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-3	-5	15.4	15.4	0.00	16.2	17.6	-1.39
Othella Harrington	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	14.2	16.5	-2.25	16.9	16.7	0.25
Eddie Johnson	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.4	0.03	17.2	16.4	0.77
Brent Price	41	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	14.1	16.4	-2.27	18.8	15.1	3.72
Mario Elie	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.39	17.2	15.1	2.11
Hakeem Olajuwon	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	2	-15	15.6	12.6	3.02	16.9	15.6	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 116, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
TOR 113, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
POR 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%