NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	5.8 [640]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +26.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.1 [283]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -9.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.09	-0.03	7	89%	0.29	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	15	77%	0.23	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	7	73%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Terrence Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mickael Pietrus	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.03	0.06	6	53%	-0.04	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	7	76%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.08
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	12	55%	0.11	0	0.00	16	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	62%	0.12	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	13	29%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.0	29.0	14.8	26.1	2.5	33.4	137.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.3%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +11.9%

TOR +8.1%

CLE -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	17.6	15.3	15.4	128.4	113.8	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		104.4	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		107.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.8	17.3	17.5	19.0	17.6
CLE	14.5	17.8	13.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	58	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-6	26	17.2	18.5	-1.34	15.6	14.7	0.85
Amir Johnson	52	53	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.07	16	-2	18	17.3	18.1	-0.79	15.3	15.3	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	17.5	17.9	-0.32	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Terrence Ross	27	27	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	5	4	16.4	18.1	-1.74	16.5	14.7	1.73
John Lucas III	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	7	0	16.8	18.0	-1.21	16.1	14.9	1.28
Jose Calderon	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	7	0	18.0	16.8	1.21	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Linas Kleiza	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	9	-4	18.4	17.0	1.42	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Ed Davis	44	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	15	-16	17.8	17.5	0.32	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Jonas Valanciunas	36	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	16	-18	18.1	17.3	0.79	15.3	15.3	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	20	-26	18.5	17.2	1.34	14.7	15.6	-0.85

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	68	68	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-18	22	14.8	17.2	-2.39	17.8	17.0	0.73
Donald Sloan	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	12.0	15.4	-3.36	22.5	17.5	5.00
Luke Walton	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-11	8	16.3	15.2	1.09	16.6	17.7	-1.09
Anderson Varejao	69	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-11	8	15.2	15.7	-0.55	18.1	15.6	2.52
Tristan Thompson	55	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-10	6	15.6	14.7	0.95	16.9	18.8	-1.88
Alonzo Gee	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-7	0	14.9	17.2	-2.28	17.9	16.2	1.62
Tyler Zeller	30	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.0	16.0	-1.96	16.5	18.2	-1.64
Daniel Gibson	26	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-1	-12	17.4	14.4	3.05	16.0	18.3	-2.33
Dion Waiters	49	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	3	-20	16.2	14.1	2.10	18.9	16.0	2.89
CJ Miles	55	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	2	-18	15.1	15.7	-0.63	17.4	18.0	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.47,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	94.0%
DAL 115, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	93.9%
LAL 96, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.9%