inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 115 Excitement5.9 [619] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +21.8%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback3.0 [283] LVPVince Carter (TOR): -15.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.220.060.13-0.031766%0.283-0.061090%0.01
Steve Nash0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.130.080.03-0.021679%0.276-0.142100%0.00
Hubert Davis0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.100.010.04686%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Christian Laettner0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.013100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.021945%0.012-0.05683%-0.01
Howard Eisley-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.001040%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01644%-0.052-0.04475%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001165%0.143-0.1010%-0.02
Dell Curry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.02-0.021252%0.034-0.065100%0.02
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011443%0.001-0.04250%-0.01
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001351%-0.031-0.02944%-0.09
Charles Oakley0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.011144%0.002-0.053100%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.030.062649%-0.131-0.021675%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.827.516.421.62.733.3131.2
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +55.5%
TOR -5.3%
TOR -0.3%
DAL +0.4%
TOR -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game13.614.215.5110.6101.9100.9
season15.215.8104.6103.7
opponent15.415.3101.6101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.013.113.016.713.6
TOR12.415.216.413.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Bradley70680.79-0.291.090.1821-113213.912.90.9715.412.03.43
Dirk Nowitzki82840.57-0.070.640.2511-11213.812.71.1014.214.5-0.36
Michael Finley91900.430.070.360.141001013.216.4-3.1914.711.13.61
Steve Nash94950.430.070.350.2273413.911.12.7614.215.0-0.83
Hubert Davis38390.370.130.240.1382615.112.82.3014.014.4-0.42
Howard Eisley74720.370.130.230.1091813.015.1-2.1614.214.3-0.04
Christian Laettner33320.070.43-0.360.0128-611.814.5-2.6914.714.00.61
Donnell Harvey210.000.50-0.500.00010-101.013.8-12.846.014.3-8.31
Mark Bryant77-0.100.60-0.700.02-414-1816.113.42.735.614.9-9.29
Gary Trent1211-0.150.65-0.79-0.03-414-1814.113.50.5514.214.2-0.06
Loy Vaught1716-0.280.78-1.050.02-1020-3014.913.31.6111.614.7-3.09

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corliss Williamson8182-0.11-0.390.29-0.193-131613.716.1-2.3613.514.0-0.57
Dell Curry1010-0.12-0.380.25-0.04-3-7413.914.3-0.3721.512.88.74
Alvin Williams6264-0.21-0.290.09-0.18-1-9813.615.2-1.6414.412.22.19
Kornel David2020-0.22-0.280.060.16-133-1614.314.20.0815.913.02.85
Mark Jackson7676-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-6214.613.21.4212.117.8-5.73
Morris Peterson88-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-1-817.014.03.0017.013.33.69
Charles Oakley8787-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-9814.413.21.2413.016.6-3.65
Vince Carter9294-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.29-3-7414.016.5-2.4913.613.8-0.23
Kevin Willis7979-0.640.14-0.78-0.08-199-2814.712.52.2113.314.6-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 113, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,093.9%
MEM 79, ATL 760.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05,093.4%
IND 97, LAC 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.16,093.3%