NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	5.6 [416]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.2%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	2.4 [482]		LVP	Gary Trent (DAL): -16.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.02	0.05	-0.03	17	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Travis Knight	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	12	58%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.05	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	24	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.04	11	39%	-0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.8	15.5	25.4	1.8	37.0	132.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.8%

LAL +9.0%

LAL +1.0%

LAL +2.9%

DAL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.4	15.8	101.1	96.9	99.6
season	14.9	15.9		104.7	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	12.6	11.4	15.6	13.8
DAL	16.4	15.6	19.9	13.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	58	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-8	19	12.3	16.1	-3.75	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Dennis Rodman	64	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-4	11	14.2	13.0	1.12	15.7	17.7	-1.96
Rick Fox	48	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-1	5	12.0	15.6	-3.62	15.7	17.0	-1.21
Sean Rooks	29	28	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-7	17	14.0	13.7	0.30	17.7	15.8	1.92
Kobe Bryant	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	4	-5	13.2	15.6	-2.40	16.4	16.3	0.07
Glen Rice	76	76	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	4	-5	14.6	10.4	4.21	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Shaquille O'Neal	60	63	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	6	-9	14.7	12.1	2.61	16.4	16.3	0.08
Derek Harper	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.31	-10	13	-23	14.3	13.4	0.89	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Travis Knight	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	15.4	13.2	2.19	19.1	15.3	3.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	26	27	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-9	15	18.5	15.6	2.94	16.4	12.7	3.71
Samaki Walker	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	14.5	16.6	-2.07	12.1	14.0	-1.85
A.C. Green	46	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	17.0	15.7	1.28	16.0	11.9	4.16
Steve Nash	84	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.35	5	-8	13	16.2	17.2	-0.93	14.5	9.2	5.37
Chris Anstey	25	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-3	3	13.8	17.3	-3.45	10.1	15.0	-4.96
Erick Strickland	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	2	-7	14.9	17.0	-2.14	12.2	14.6	-2.46
Michael Finley	85	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-3	3	16.5	15.3	1.22	13.8	13.9	-0.14
Shawn Bradley	35	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	6	-15	17.1	15.9	1.20	14.7	13.2	1.46
Hubert Davis	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	0	-3	16.9	13.8	3.17	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Gary Trent	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	7	-17	15.8	17.3	-1.52	12.4	16.4	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0	94.4%
TOR 113, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.05,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
POR 108, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%