NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.2 [538]		MVP	Charles Oakley (NYK): +3.9%
Washington Bullets	92		Comeback	2.9 [377]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -11.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	74%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Herb Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.01	-0.10	0.07	-0.02	12	55%	0.11	5	-0.12	9	67%	-0.03
John Starks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.02

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	-0.06	19	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	61%	0.07	5	-0.15	2	0%	-0.05
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	11	18%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	47%	-0.09	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	28.5	15.7	27.1	1.8	36.4	140.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +25.9%

NYK +18.9%

WAS -7.5%

NYK +7.9%

NYK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.6	102.1	98.9	104.4
season	15.1	14.8		102.0	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	14.2	18.0	13.8	15.5
WAS	13.6	15.2	16.1	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	65	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-6	17	14.5	17.8	-3.31	15.4	14.2	1.20
Buck Williams	38	40	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-3	11	15.1	15.8	-0.72	15.7	14.7	1.01
Larry Johnson	62	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	16.0	14.6	1.47	15.3	14.8	0.43
Charlie Ward	30	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	-5	15	13.3	16.6	-3.27	16.4	14.4	1.95
Patrick Ewing	67	64	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.4	15.9	-0.50	15.2	14.8	0.49
Chris Childs	65	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	10	-15	16.6	13.3	3.27	14.4	16.4	-1.95
Allan Houston	63	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.7	1.19	14.4	16.3	-1.82
Charles Oakley	66	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.34	-5	10	-15	16.3	13.7	2.66	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Herb Williams	6	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	0	5	16.5	15.5	1.03	14.5	15.1	-0.64
John Wallace	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	3	-1	13.8	15.8	-1.96	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	43	42	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.19	9	-14	23	15.4	14.8	0.60	15.7	15.4	0.28
Calbert Cheaney	31	33	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-9	13	14.1	15.6	-1.45	18.1	14.2	3.96
Chris Webber	70	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	14.9	15.7	-0.85	16.3	12.7	3.53
Jaren Jackson	22	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-4	3	13.9	15.5	-1.56	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Rod Strickland	81	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-9	13	14.9	16.2	-1.32	15.6	14.9	0.71
Chris Whitney	12	10	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	4	-13	16.2	14.9	1.32	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Tracy Murray	30	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.9	0.69	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Tim Legler	41	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	5	-15	16.4	14.1	2.36	14.2	16.6	-2.40
Juwan Howard	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.1	14.9	0.19	15.7	14.8	0.88
Harvey Grant	57	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	4	-13	14.9	15.5	-0.61	14.7	16.8	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	94.4%
NYK 103, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DEN 106, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.05,0	93.7%