NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	6.1 [626]		MVP	T.J. Warren (PHX): +19.4%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.4 [357]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -15.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	82%	0.12	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Luka Doncic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	47%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.01	17	75%	0.23	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	81%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	18	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.18	0.06	-0.02	13	25%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.8	29.1	15.4	32.5	3.4	31.4	137.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +23.9%

PHX +13.1%

DAL -9.6%

PHX +20.9%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	14.3	89.0	100.0	109.3
season	14.7	14.4		108.5	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	14.6	12.6	12.1	13.8
PHX	14.6	14.2	14.1	17.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	33	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	12.7	14.3	-1.59	15.6	15.0	0.59
Dirk Nowitzki	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-9	8	20.6	13.0	7.57	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Maxi Kleber	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-13	16	9.7	15.0	-5.32	15.7	15.0	0.75
Devin Harris	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	13.1	14.2	-1.11	15.3	15.1	0.19
Dorian Finney-Smith	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	13.1	14.2	-1.04	15.2	15.1	0.09
Dennis Smith Jr.	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	14.1	13.4	0.79	15.5	14.7	0.78
Jalen Brunson	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	13.4	14.1	-0.79	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Wesley Matthews	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	14.2	13.1	1.04	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Luka Doncic	66	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	14.2	13.1	1.11	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Harrison Barnes	67	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	2	-14	14.2	13.0	1.18	15.1	15.4	-0.30
DeAndre Jordan	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	3	-16	14.3	12.7	1.59	15.0	15.6	-0.59

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-4	18	15.8	13.7	2.13	13.5	14.4	-0.87
Jamal Crawford	54	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	16.2	13.9	2.29	13.3	14.3	-0.96
Richaun Holmes	40	41	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	15.5	14.9	0.53	16.1	12.2	3.99
Trevor Ariza	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	3	4	15.3	14.6	0.72	14.1	13.0	1.09
T.J. Warren	73	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	15.0	15.5	-0.51	13.9	13.4	0.57
Troy Daniels	27	27	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	2	6	14.2	15.5	-1.29	11.1	14.8	-3.72
Mikal Bridges	46	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	13	-16	14.4	15.8	-1.48	14.4	13.3	1.12
Deandre Ayton	59	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	16	-22	14.9	15.5	-0.53	12.2	16.1	-3.99
De'Anthony Melton	45	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	13.9	16.2	-2.29	14.3	13.3	0.96
Jawun Evans	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	18.2	15.0	3.20	20.4	13.4	6.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 80, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	94.7%
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.5%