NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	4.9 [820]		MVP	Matt Maloney (CHI): +22.6%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.7 [592]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -12.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	14	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	14	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	20	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Johnny Newman	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.04	0.01	7	119%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	74%	0.13	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	17	50%	0.00	6	-0.12	10	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	28.2	15.5	26.4	1.6	30.2	126.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +79.8%

NJN -12.8%

CHI +8.3%

NJN -24.4%

NJN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.6	15.2	104.5	112.4	101.7
season	15.5	16.5		102.1	91.8
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.6	17.4	17.0	16.0	16.7
CHI	16.9	16.1	14.3	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	4	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	20.0	16.6	3.42	16.6	15.6	1.03
Gheorghe Muresan	20	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-6	5	17.3	16.6	0.73	16.1	15.5	0.67
Lucious Harris	28	28	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	18.5	15.9	2.63	18.1	14.5	3.62
Scott Burrell	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-7	7	16.4	17.0	-0.59	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jamie Feick	65	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	3	-13	16.9	16.2	0.66	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Johnny Newman	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	16.6	17.1	-0.48	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Kendall Gill	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-5	3	16.6	17.9	-1.32	15.0	20.4	-5.37
Keith Van Horn	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.5	17.5	-1.01	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Elliot Perry	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	16.2	18.9	-2.71	15.3	16.8	-1.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	15.3	17.6	-2.30	16.2	19.8	-3.63
Matt Maloney	47	47	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-7	21	15.6	15.7	-0.12	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Chris Carr	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	15.5	16.2	-0.73	16.1	18.6	-2.53
Fred Hoiberg	50	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	4	-1	16.2	14.9	1.21	16.9	16.5	0.42
Michael Ruffin	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-3	13	16.4	15.0	1.38	17.5	16.2	1.30
Hersey Hawkins	65	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	6	-5	14.8	17.7	-2.90	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Metta World Peace	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	2	3	15.2	15.9	-0.75	16.8	16.7	0.15
Chris Anstey	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	10	-13	17.3	15.2	2.07	19.3	16.0	3.22
B.J. Armstrong	42	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	14	-21	15.7	15.6	0.12	17.5	16.1	1.41
Corey Benjamin	7	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	14	-21	18.4	15.4	3.04	20.4	16.4	4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	95.9%
NOK 81, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 89, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.2%