NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	81		Excitement	4.7 [900]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +24.3%
San Antonio Spurs	96		Comeback	1.4 [1003]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -14.0%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.04	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.05	14	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.06	0.03	15	47%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.04	0.00	6	133%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	16	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	6	62%	0.08	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	71%	0.10	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	24%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	35%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	32.5	16.4	23.8	2.0	27.2	132.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.7%

SAS +7.2%

SAS +11.4%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SAS	NBA	NOK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	17.4	15.6	92.0	111.6	104.4
season	16.3	16.3		101.2	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.7	14.9	16.8	15.3	15.7
SAS	18.7	15.7	15.9	19.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	2	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-13	11	20.0	15.6	4.41	23.0	17.4	5.64
David West	68	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-19	23	15.3	17.0	-1.69	18.1	15.2	2.84
J.R. Smith	29	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-13	11	15.1	16.0	-0.93	16.6	17.8	-1.22
Brandon Bass	4	3	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-9	3	16.0	15.7	0.32	6.0	17.8	-11.84
Speedy Claxton	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-10	5	16.3	15.3	1.02	18.7	16.7	2.05
Kirk Snyder	47	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-7	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.53	17.6	17.2	0.34
Aaron Williams	22	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-5	-5	16.1	15.6	0.53	17.6	17.4	0.19
Linton Johnson	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-5	-5	14.4	16.4	-2.01	15.3	18.7	-3.40
Rasual Butler	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-8	1	16.0	14.3	1.67	17.9	15.0	2.86
Marc Jackson	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-1	-13	16.1	14.5	1.58	17.7	16.7	1.06
Chris Paul	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	0	-15	15.8	15.2	0.57	17.1	18.8	-1.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	45	44	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.12	28	-13	41	16.2	18.8	-2.63	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Michael Finley	44	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	1	13	17.4	17.5	-0.09	16.0	15.4	0.51
Tony Parker	58	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	3	9	17.7	16.8	0.96	16.3	14.4	1.85
Robert Horry	22	22	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-1	17	16.2	17.9	-1.68	16.2	15.5	0.65
Tim Duncan	57	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	12	-9	17.7	16.9	0.86	15.9	15.3	0.57
Beno Udrih	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	16.8	17.8	-1.01	14.4	16.5	-2.04
Bruce Bowen	56	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	15	-15	17.7	16.9	0.81	16.1	14.9	1.17
Nazr Mohammed	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	11	-7	16.9	17.7	-0.81	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Rasho Nesterovic	27	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	14	-13	18.2	17.1	1.15	16.7	15.2	1.53
Sean Marks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	24.0	17.2	6.81	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Fabricio Oberto	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	24.0	17.2	6.81	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Manu Ginobili	46	50	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	23	-31	17.7	17.1	0.57	15.1	16.4	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	95.4%
IND 77, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 76, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%