NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	76		Excitement	4.4 [926]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.2 [1160]		LVP	Chris Childs (TOR): -11.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mamadou N'diaye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	44%	-0.00	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Montross	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.04	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	52%	0.05	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	490.9	2.5	25.2	15.8	24.3	1.8	25.6	586.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.2%

DET +4.1%

TOR -5.0%

DET +5.1%

DET +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	19.5	17.2	15.6	97.4	112.7	102.3
season	16.2	15.7		100.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	22.1	17.6	19.3	19.4	19.5
DET	16.9	15.1	16.7	20.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	13.7	19.7	-6.05	17.7	17.2	0.56
Mamadou N'diaye	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-21	29	16.4	21.6	-5.17	17.5	17.0	0.48
Tracy Murray	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-16	19	19.4	19.5	-0.13	20.6	16.2	4.40
Jermaine Jackson	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-10	7	18.7	20.0	-1.27	18.7	16.4	2.32
Chris Childs	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	18.6	21.2	-2.60	17.5	16.7	0.72
Eric Montross	34	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-1	-11	21.2	18.2	2.99	16.2	18.0	-1.77
Antonio Davis	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	0	-13	20.4	15.7	4.73	17.3	16.9	0.35
Morris Peterson	44	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	2	-17	20.2	18.5	1.70	16.0	18.9	-2.88
Keon Clark	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	0	-13	19.6	19.1	0.52	17.3	17.0	0.27
Alvin Williams	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	3	-19	20.1	18.2	1.89	16.4	19.0	-2.61

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	62	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.01	20	-7	27	17.1	17.7	-0.63	20.1	17.4	2.73
Clifford Robinson	61	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-7	27	17.0	18.0	-1.02	20.6	16.0	4.61
Ben Wallace	64	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	5	3	17.1	17.7	-0.56	19.5	19.4	0.10
Chucky Atkins	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	17.8	16.0	1.72	20.2	18.0	2.23
Jon Barry	44	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	7	-1	17.1	17.3	-0.23	17.8	21.8	-4.09
Damon Jones	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	5	3	16.5	17.6	-1.10	18.8	19.9	-1.17
Michael Curry	33	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	8	-3	17.3	17.2	0.10	22.3	17.6	4.65
Corliss Williamson	21	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	19	-25	18.1	16.9	1.20	17.2	20.4	-3.15
Zeljko Rebraca	27	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	19	-25	17.4	17.1	0.24	16.7	21.1	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 73, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
GSW 107, SAC 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%