NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	4.4 [914]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): +18.6%
Sacramento Kings	120		Comeback	1.2 [492]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	12	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.04
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	9	64%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	5	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.01	15	62%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	11	63%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.05	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.02	0.06	14	65%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	37%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	15	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	31.6	14.7	26.3	0.2	29.4	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -3.8%

SAC +23.4%

SAC +20.5%

SAC +12.7%

GSW -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	15.3	104.9	117.6	106.0
season	13.4	15.2		106.5	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	15.1	11.8	14.8	13.5
SAC	15.8	13.2	15.9	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	12.2	13.7	-1.56	14.9	14.7	0.25
CJ Watson	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	12.9	13.6	-0.67	14.7	14.7	0.00
Mikki Moore	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-6	-1	20.0	12.9	7.05	10.9	15.1	-4.19
Anthony Morrow	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-12	11	13.1	13.9	-0.82	13.9	15.5	-1.69
Anthony Randolph	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-16	19	12.5	14.4	-1.90	14.1	15.3	-1.14
Andris Biedrins	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	13.4	13.6	-0.14	16.1	13.7	2.38
Monta Ellis	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.27	-18	5	-23	13.5	13.6	-0.08	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Stephen Curry	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-8	3	13.4	13.7	-0.39	15.2	13.8	1.41
Corey Maggette	52	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	1	-15	13.8	13.2	0.55	14.5	15.0	-0.42
Stephen Jackson	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	0	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.30	15.2	13.6	1.57
Kelenna Azubuike	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	8	-29	14.3	11.7	2.57	14.8	14.5	0.30

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	71	70	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	6	1	13.8	16.8	-2.93	13.6	13.2	0.36
Tyreke Evans	60	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-5	23	15.5	13.6	1.94	13.6	13.4	0.14
Beno Udrih	71	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-10	33	15.0	14.2	0.78	13.9	12.5	1.37
Jason Thompson	56	58	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	-3	19	15.9	13.3	2.61	12.7	14.5	-1.84
Andres Nocioni	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	15.3	13.9	1.39	13.5	13.5	-0.08
Donte Greene	43	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	11	-9	13.9	15.3	-1.39	13.5	13.5	0.08
Omri Casspi	76	76	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	13	-13	14.7	14.8	-0.05	13.8	12.7	1.03
Spencer Hawes	48	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	7	-1	13.7	15.7	-2.02	14.6	12.5	2.11
Sergio Rodriguez	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	13.7	14.9	-1.18	12.0	13.7	-1.74
Jon Brockman	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	25	-37	14.7	14.7	-0.08	9.3	14.0	-4.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 76, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 73, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 86, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%