NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	4.8 [860]		MVP	Dion Waiters (MIA): +15.6%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	1.6 [682]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -11.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	8	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	117%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	19	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Thon Maker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	3	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	10	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	18	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.04	0.05	19	72%	0.20	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	76%	0.20	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	8	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Okaro White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	28%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.7	25.4	14.7	26.8	1.8	29.4	128.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +53.8%

MIL -5.6%

MIL -2.5%

MIA +5.8%

MIL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIA	NBA	MIL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	14.8	105.4	117.2	107.7
season	14.9	15.4		107.4	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.3		105.9	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	16.1	15.4	12.5	15.2
MIA	15.7	14.5	14.6	18.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thon Maker	32	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-19	26	14.7	15.5	-0.78	18.1	14.6	3.44
John Henson	40	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-11	10	16.8	14.0	2.78	16.2	15.6	0.57
Tony Snell	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	16.8	13.7	3.07	16.1	15.7	0.32
Michael Beasley	22	21	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-3	-6	14.3	15.5	-1.20	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Rashad Vaughn	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.8	1.78	12.4	17.1	-4.67
Matthew Dellavedova	66	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-12	12	15.0	15.9	-0.91	16.6	14.0	2.66
Greg Monroe	36	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	0	-12	15.3	15.2	0.13	14.1	16.9	-2.77
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-5	-2	15.7	13.7	1.96	15.9	15.8	0.12
Jabari Parker	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	14.2	17.5	-3.29	16.2	15.3	0.94
Malcolm Brogdon	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	1	-14	13.9	17.8	-3.89	16.0	15.7	0.33

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-1	14	15.7	16.6	-0.97	14.8	16.7	-1.91
James Johnson	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	15.9	16.0	-0.14	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Dion Waiters	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.5	14.5	1.05
Hassan Whiteside	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	4	4	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.8	14.4	1.42
Willie Reed	37	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	8	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.33	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Goran Dragic	66	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	9	-6	16.7	14.0	2.73	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Okaro White	41	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	6	0	15.4	16.3	-0.96	13.6	16.4	-2.85
Rodney McGruder	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	10	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.32	17.3	14.0	3.28
Luke Babbitt	34	33	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	12	-12	16.0	15.9	0.11	17.1	14.2	2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	95.9%
BOS 87, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 76, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%