NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	80		Excitement	4.9 [829]		MVP	Scott Padgett (HOU): +8.5%
Houston Rockets	88		Comeback	1.4 [949]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -16.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.03	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Theron Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.03	12	48%	-0.05	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	15	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	53%	0.05	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	15	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	62%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	29.2	16.3	25.5	2.7	35.0	134.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.1%

MEM -5.1%

HOU +1.6%

MEM -0.7%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.7	94.1	100.0	100.5
season	15.3	16.5		102.3	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.9	16.7	17.7	16.3	16.9
HOU	15.2	16.0	18.3	16.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	16.5	17.1	-0.51	15.7	16.8	-1.07
Theron Smith	17	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-4	0	19.1	16.3	2.81	18.1	16.0	2.07
Earl Watson	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	17.1	16.7	0.41	18.4	15.5	2.90
Bo Outlaw	28	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	16.7	17.0	-0.29	18.6	15.3	3.34
Bonzi Wells	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.7	17.1	-0.33	15.6	17.4	-1.77
James Posey	57	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-7	6	16.1	18.4	-2.27	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Pau Gasol	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	16.9	16.9	-0.06	15.4	18.7	-3.22
Jason Williams	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	16.7	17.1	-0.41	15.5	18.4	-2.90
Shane Battier	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	17.1	16.6	0.55	17.1	15.6	1.45
Stromile Swift	50	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	17.2	16.4	0.80	16.7	16.0	0.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	45	42	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-5	18	16.6	16.3	0.30	17.9	15.9	2.04
Jim Jackson	81	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	16.5	16.1	0.31	17.0	16.0	0.96
Steve Francis	74	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-3	14	16.2	17.6	-1.44	17.2	15.1	2.15
Adrian Griffin	21	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	-1	10	15.9	16.6	-0.69	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Yao Ming	66	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	8	-8	15.7	18.6	-2.94	16.4	18.2	-1.79
Cuttino Mobley	73	70	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	12	-16	16.4	16.7	-0.28	16.9	16.6	0.33
Scott Padgett	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	4	0	17.9	15.8	2.06	16.7	16.9	-0.26
Mark Jackson	16	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	7	-6	17.7	16.2	1.53	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Kelvin Cato	38	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	11	-14	16.8	16.2	0.63	16.9	16.8	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, VAN 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.2%
SAC 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.0%
DAL 89, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%