NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	4.7 [852]		MVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): +23.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	119		Comeback	1.6 [690]		LVP	Chris Gatling (CLE): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	19	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Etdrick Bohannon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Trajan Langdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	23	51%	-0.02	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.05	-0.00	18	76%	0.27	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	54%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	65%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	32.5	16.4	26.3	1.8	30.3	135.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +50.2%

CLE -0.0%

VAN +9.6%

CLE -13.0%

VAN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	VAN	NBA	CLE	VAN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.5	112.6	125.3	100.9
season	15.3	15.6		98.4	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.4	17.7	14.7	15.5
VAN	16.2	15.0	12.3	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etdrick Bohannon	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	12.5	15.5	-3.05	8.0	15.0	-6.98
Trajan Langdon	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-8	4	14.4	15.7	-1.29	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Robert Traylor	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.9	14.8	0.06
Jim Jackson	58	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.9	13.0	2.90
Andre Miller	77	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-13	14	15.1	17.3	-2.21	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Anthony Johnson	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	1	-14	15.6	15.4	0.21	12.8	15.3	-2.55
Cedric Henderson	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-8	4	15.1	16.0	-0.86	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Lamond Murray	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.2	17.0	-1.76	14.5	16.9	-2.46
Clar. Weatherspoon	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	1	-14	17.0	12.6	4.36	15.0	14.4	0.62
Chris Gatling	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	15.5	15.3	0.23	15.1	13.8	1.24

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	91	90	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-3	18	14.7	18.7	-4.09	15.7	11.6	4.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	93	93	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.11	14	-2	16	14.8	14.5	0.34	15.4	18.5	-3.08
Mike Bibby	77	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-2	16	14.4	16.6	-2.20	15.2	16.9	-1.75
Bryant Reeves	66	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	3	6	14.9	14.7	0.20	15.9	14.5	1.36
Stromile Swift	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	7	-2	14.1	15.4	-1.30	17.7	13.9	3.75
Damon Jones	44	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	9	-6	15.2	14.5	0.61	14.1	16.6	-2.53
Ike Austin	25	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	15.2	14.7	0.50	15.5	15.5	0.08
Othella Harrington	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	9	-6	15.9	14.4	1.56	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Kevin Edwards	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	20	-28	16.2	14.6	1.62	15.5	15.5	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 85, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
POR 72, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.3%