NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	4.4 [967]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +18.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	1.5 [1008]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -11.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	23	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ben Uzoh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	7%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	36%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	16	58%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	18	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	64%	0.09	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.2	16.4	25.4	2.7	30.0	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.2%

MIL +5.5%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +2.4%

NJN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	16.7	15.5	95.3	109.6	105.7
season	16.4	16.2		101.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.2	16.5	18.5	19.2	17.5
MIL	16.5	17.8	14.3	18.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	10	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-13	16	22.4	16.9	5.52	13.7	17.1	-3.45
Stephen Graham	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	15.5	17.9	-2.43	19.9	16.1	3.74
Ben Uzoh	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-3	-4	19.0	17.4	1.56	11.6	17.1	-5.48
Johan Petro	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-5	0	17.0	17.7	-0.66	15.4	17.1	-1.66
Derrick Favors	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	16.8	18.2	-1.49	17.6	16.0	1.61
Devin Harris	68	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-8	6	17.6	17.1	0.51	16.6	17.2	-0.53
Kris Humphries	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	18.2	16.8	1.49	16.0	17.6	-1.61
Brook Lopez	68	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	17.7	17.0	0.66	17.1	15.4	1.66
Anthony Morrow	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-6	2	17.0	18.5	-1.45	16.9	16.5	0.43
Sasha Vujacic	37	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	19.2	16.2	2.99	16.5	16.9	-0.41
Travis Outlaw	65	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	16.5	21.0	-4.54	17.0	15.8	1.24

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	61	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-3	16	17.8	13.9	3.92	17.4	17.9	-0.51
Carlos Delfino	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	16.7	16.7	0.02	17.4	18.5	-1.17
Ersan Ilyasova	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-2	14	15.7	19.1	-3.34	17.5	17.5	0.01
Garrett Temple	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	2	6	17.8	15.5	2.28	17.8	17.3	0.50
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	17.6	16.0	1.63	18.5	16.7	1.80
Andrew Bogut	64	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	17.1	15.7	1.38	17.1	19.4	-2.35
Corey Maggette	50	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	15.8	18.2	-2.38	17.5	17.5	0.02
Brandon Jennings	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	13	-16	13.9	17.8	-3.92	17.9	17.4	0.51
Jon Brockman	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	9.5	16.9	-7.43	21.0	17.5	3.51
Larry Sanders	4	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	13	-16	21.5	16.5	4.99	14.3	17.6	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CLE 107, VAN 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.6%
POR 107, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.99,1	95.5%