NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	6.3 [605]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +13.1%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.7 [767]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -24.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	5	110%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	27	56%	0.14	6	-0.10	9	100%	0.05
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
CJ McCollum	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24	-0.19	-0.05	0.00	14	20%	-0.16	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	10	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	90%	0.20	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	28.3	14.7	27.2	1.8	41.3	138.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.6%

SAC +0.6%

SAC +4.9%

POR -0.2%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	14.3	108.1	115.0	109.3
season	14.9	13.3		112.6	109.2
opponent	14.3	13.9		110.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	16.7	15.1	14.0	14.9
SAC	12.6	13.3	14.3	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	78	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-14	20	14.2	17.6	-3.41	14.4	12.9	1.49
Jake Layman	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-12	16	14.9	14.9	0.02	14.1	14.0	0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-4	0	13.9	16.2	-2.25	14.4	13.5	0.89
Meyers Leonard	37	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	16.4	14.0	2.36	13.9	14.1	-0.24
Jusuf Nurkic	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-4	0	14.0	16.4	-2.36	14.1	13.9	0.24
Nik Stauskas	14	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	4	-16	17.4	14.5	2.91	12.3	14.3	-1.98
Zach Collins	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	0	-8	16.4	13.8	2.67	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Seth Curry	39	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	0	-8	16.5	13.9	2.66	13.6	14.3	-0.73
CJ McCollum	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	14.0	16.7	-2.76	14.1	13.9	0.16
Evan Turner	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.2	13.8	0.44

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.07	14	-6	20	14.2	13.7	0.55	15.5	13.9	1.55
Justin Jackson	32	32	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-3	14	13.1	14.5	-1.41	16.4	14.2	2.23
Yogi Ferrell	34	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	1	6	13.6	14.3	-0.70	16.5	14.2	2.37
Harry Giles III	38	36	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	3	2	13.6	14.3	-0.71	16.5	14.0	2.42
Willie Cauley-Stein	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	5	-2	14.3	13.6	0.71	14.0	16.5	-2.42
De'Aaron Fox	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	5	-2	14.3	13.6	0.70	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Marvin Bagley III	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	8	-8	13.1	14.9	-1.72	15.6	14.3	1.27
Nemanja Bjelica	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	14.0	14.1	-0.12	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Buddy Hield	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	9	-10	14.4	13.5	0.86	14.2	16.0	-1.84
Iman Shumpert	52	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	13	-18	14.8	13.1	1.72	13.4	16.6	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 107, VAN 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%