inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 85 Excitement4.3 [929] MVPDanny Granger (IND): +15.8%
Indiana Pacers 105 Comeback1.6 [1280] LVPEarl Barron (MIA): -11.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.00675%0.131-0.03887%0.02
Kasib Powell0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.001065%0.061-0.00367%-0.01
Daequan Cook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001073%0.086-0.092100%0.01
Alexander Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.000100%0.042-0.054100%0.02
Ricky Davis-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02939%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01442%0.013-0.06425%-0.03
Blake Ahearn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.010.05573%-0.013-0.051100%0.00
Stephane Lasme-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.04830%-0.032-0.03450%-0.00
Mark Blount-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01737%-0.051-0.0320%-0.04
Earl Barron-0.120,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01817%-0.101-0.02250%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.05-0.011759%0.181-0.025100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01475%0.082-0.04475%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01250%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00781%0.104-0.072100%0.01
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01762%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.011647%0.0000.006100%0.02
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.09-0.000.09683%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01935%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00533%-0.043-0.052100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.330.915.723.72.429.4130.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +18.4%
IND +8.3%
IND +9.5%
IND +11.5%
IND +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game16.914.215.491.4114.1105.7
season16.013.899.0104.5
opponent15.215.4105.6108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.417.117.816.516.9
IND14.914.814.113.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Barron4241-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-181616.917.0-0.0814.414.00.39
Alexander Johnson1413-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-151016.017.1-1.1113.814.2-0.38
Mark Blount2728-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-151017.016.90.0814.713.90.78
Blake Ahearn3031-0.16-0.340.170.13-10-10015.717.5-1.8413.614.5-0.85
Daequan Cook5858-0.26-0.24-0.030.21-16-4-1216.417.8-1.4113.515.3-1.78
Chris Quinn6361-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-10017.515.71.8414.513.60.85
Joel Anthony5957-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-9-217.216.50.7014.513.70.74
Stephane Lasme4445-0.36-0.14-0.230.14-17-3-1416.917.0-0.0713.414.9-1.56
Kasib Powell6363-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-11-9-216.617.6-0.9714.313.90.35
Ricky Davis6563-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-13-7-617.715.12.5814.713.11.56

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels52540.55-0.050.60-0.0621-12214.014.3-0.3117.116.70.39
Jermaine O'Neal34360.360.140.22-0.111641213.814.4-0.6016.917.0-0.05
Travis Diener49500.340.160.17-0.221911813.015.6-2.6016.517.5-0.97
Mike Dunleavy65660.320.180.130.021010014.712.91.7717.415.91.54
Kareem Rush37380.310.190.12-0.10146813.114.9-1.7816.917.0-0.09
Danny Granger63630.280.220.060.02911-214.413.70.7617.016.80.17
Ronald Murray43430.160.34-0.170.13119-1815.613.02.6017.516.50.97
Jeff Foster49480.140.36-0.210.06317-1414.913.41.5117.316.60.76
Troy Murphy39400.050.45-0.390.11-222-2415.013.51.4817.316.70.62
Shawne Williams770.000.50-0.50-0.12416-129.714.5-4.8314.617.1-2.57
Stephen Graham980.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1411.814.4-2.6614.217.2-2.95
Ike Diogu1312-0.020.52-0.54-0.08218-1613.814.2-0.3814.217.3-3.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 76, CHA 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
CLE 78, WAS 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.7%
IND 88, DET 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,195.6%