NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	136		Excitement	2.0 [1286]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +11.8%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.2 [867]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): -6.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.22	0.00	0.10	16	72%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.19	0.00	0.12	16	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	20	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	87%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.07	13	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.00	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	5	80%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	16	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	28.5	12.8	30.8	2.8	24.5	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.9%

HOU +8.0%

HOU +1.5%

HOU +10.7%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.3	140.2	106.1	109.3
season	14.8	14.8		114.0	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.4		110.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.9	15.2	14.5	14.6	14.3
SAS	16.4	16.8	14.3	13.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	55	57	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.48	33	-2	35	14.0	14.6	-0.56	15.3	14.8	0.51
Clint Capela	58	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.44	31	0	31	14.2	14.4	-0.22	15.6	14.4	1.19
Eric Gordon	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.22	19	12	7	15.8	12.6	3.13	14.8	15.4	-0.57
PJ Tucker	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.35	23	8	15	13.4	15.2	-1.77	15.5	14.7	0.80
Chris Paul	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.50	28	3	25	13.4	15.5	-2.16	16.6	13.0	3.63
Gerald Green	49	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	24	-17	15.3	13.2	2.04	14.0	16.2	-2.18
Gary Clark	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	26	-21	14.9	13.9	0.97	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Danuel House Jr.	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	25	-19	15.0	13.6	1.38	14.8	15.4	-0.60
James Ennis III	26	28	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.21	11	20	-9	11.3	15.4	-4.06	16.6	14.5	2.10
Marquese Chriss	30	29	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	33	-35	14.8	14.1	0.71	13.5	15.8	-2.24
Michael Carter-Williams	19	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	34	-37	13.5	14.5	-0.94	12.4	15.8	-3.32
Isaiah Hartenstein	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	34	-37	16.0	14.2	1.82	15.3	15.1	0.25

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-33	35	13.0	15.4	-2.42	12.7	14.5	-1.74
Quincy Pondexter	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-36	41	13.1	15.8	-2.69	14.6	14.2	0.41
Jakob Poeltl	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-28	25	14.2	15.4	-1.26	15.5	13.8	1.72
Dante Cunningham	40	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.19	-11	-20	9	14.5	15.5	-0.92	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Davis Bertans	37	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-28	25	13.9	15.8	-1.84	14.7	14.0	0.67
Marco Belinelli	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-24	17	16.0	14.7	1.26	15.1	13.9	1.16
Derrick White	69	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-21	11	14.6	16.3	-1.72	14.7	13.4	1.22
Patty Mills	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-16	1	14.5	15.5	-1.01	15.6	13.3	2.35
Bryn Forbes	44	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.56	-29	-2	-27	17.4	13.3	4.11	12.5	15.7	-3.18
DeMar DeRozan	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.40	-26	-5	-21	14.9	15.3	-0.36	14.2	14.3	-0.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.41	-27	-4	-23	15.6	14.2	1.37	14.3	14.2	0.10
Rudy Gay	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.50	-31	0	-31	16.7	13.5	3.15	13.6	15.0	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 122, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
WAS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
CLE 109, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%