NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	2.0 [1239]		MVP	Dee Brown (BOS): +12.7%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.0 [380]		LVP	Walt Williams (TOR): -11.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.12	10	46%	0.04	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Minor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyus Edney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	56%	0.01	3	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	17	68%	0.03	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Chris Garner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	8	85%	0.01	4	-0.04	11	100%	-0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	15	52%	-0.02	4	-0.05	10	90%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	11	37%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	25.4	14.4	27.7	1.8	35.5	130.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.4%

BOS +0.6%

BOS +2.9%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	15.6	123.2	109.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		100.2	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	17.7	14.1	15.8	14.8
TOR	14.4	17.4	13.6	11.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.5	13.6	1.91	14.7	13.4	1.28
Antoine Walker	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	-5	23	14.8	14.7	0.06	14.4	13.6	0.80
Ron Mercer	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	12	-11	13.4	16.5	-3.06	12.8	15.9	-3.17
Greg Minor	42	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	-1	15	14.3	15.1	-0.82	14.3	14.1	0.19
Tyus Edney	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	3	7	11.6	16.1	-4.53	12.7	14.8	-2.11
Pervis Ellison	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	13	-13	12.5	16.1	-3.59	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Dee Brown	51	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	8	-3	15.9	13.5	2.36	15.3	13.0	2.29
Chauncey Billups	56	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	8	-3	15.9	13.2	2.70	14.7	13.5	1.15
Andrew DeClercq	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.57	-13	26	-39	16.0	13.7	2.28	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Dana Barros	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	15	-17	16.7	14.4	2.28	15.3	14.0	1.27
Travis Knight	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.32	13	0	13	15.2	14.5	0.73	13.8	14.4	-0.64

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-13	13	12.6	14.4	-1.80	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Shawn Respert	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-17	21	13.9	14.5	-0.56	16.6	13.1	3.54
Tracy McGrady	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-5	-3	17.5	13.8	3.67	12.8	15.0	-2.18
Popeye Jones	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-14	15	15.0	13.8	1.21	16.2	14.0	2.16
Reggie Slater	56	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.38	-20	7	-27	14.7	13.5	1.19	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Doug Christie	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-18	23	12.6	17.4	-4.74	14.2	16.1	-1.90
Zan Tabak	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	14.2	14.1	0.12	14.6	14.9	-0.32
John Wallace	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-15	17	13.9	15.3	-1.39	14.9	14.1	0.82
Walt Williams	57	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.29	-24	11	-35	15.2	12.9	2.33	13.8	16.2	-2.30
Damon Stoudamire	95	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	5	-23	14.3	13.0	1.25	14.7	16.0	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 124, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
HOU 136, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAS 114, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%