NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	10.0 [94]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +36.8%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	2.5 [571]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (IND): -22.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.18	0.19	0.00	12	81%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.36	0.10	0.26	-0.00	10	67%	0.36	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.27	0.01	0.27	0.00	12	52%	0.34	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	58%	0.11	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
TJ Leaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	9	42%	0.08	3	-0.09	8	62%	0.06
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.02	10	59%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	5	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	10	40%	-0.10	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	20	60%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.12	-0.03	7	43%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.15,-0.34,-0.43,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.05	0.03	21	42%	-0.03	5	-0.19	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	25.3	14.6	26.3	2.3	31.8	123.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +4.0%

IND +23.2%

IND +22.8%

IND +3.4%

PHX -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	14.3	112.4	108.3	109.3
season	14.5	14.4		108.4	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.6		114.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	12.9	16.2	17.6	14.8
PHX	14.8	14.8	14.3	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	59	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-3	11	14.8	14.7	0.13	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Myles Turner	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	3	-1	14.5	15.1	-0.59	13.6	18.0	-4.44
Darren Collison	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	3	-1	14.9	14.5	0.43	13.8	18.1	-4.33
TJ Leaf	18	17	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-8	21	12.8	15.2	-2.37	17.9	14.5	3.40
Cory Joseph	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	14.3	15.4	-1.14	16.4	13.4	2.97
Tyreke Evans	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.2	0.98	13.5	17.4	-3.88
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	9	-13	14.5	15.1	-0.62	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Doug McDermott	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	15.8	13.9	1.89	17.2	13.3	3.96
Aaron Holiday	30	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	2	1	14.5	14.9	-0.43	18.1	13.8	4.33
Domantas Sabonis	43	42	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.13	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.6	13.9	2.77

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Canaan	38	39	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-9	13	17.1	13.8	3.35	15.3	14.4	0.87
Richaun Holmes	30	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	-2	-1	18.6	13.5	5.07	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Josh Jackson	41	43	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-4	3	16.7	13.9	2.88	15.2	14.4	0.84
T.J. Warren	80	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-12	19	14.5	17.9	-3.42	14.9	14.3	0.60
Jamal Crawford	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-4	3	15.2	15.0	0.26	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Mikal Bridges	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	13.9	16.3	-2.38	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Deandre Ayton	66	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	-3	1	13.5	18.6	-5.07	14.8	14.7	0.08
Devin Booker	74	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	-1	-3	14.0	18.6	-4.61	14.9	14.3	0.63
Trevor Ariza	56	58	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.34	-20	15	-35	15.6	14.3	1.30	14.5	15.2	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.46,0.71,0.67,0.28,0	90.9%
DAL 89, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.22,0.27,0	90.6%
POR 102, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.54,0.46,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	90.0%