NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	6.9 [405]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): +22.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	3.7 [121]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (PHI): -32.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.01	6	100%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.22	0.07	0.13	-0.02	21	60%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.05
Marcus Fizer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	10	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Goodrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Guyton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	9	33%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	0.00	8	40%	-0.02	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	10	78%	0.21	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	8	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	13	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	14	39%	-0.06	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	0.00	7	19%	-0.27	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	25.6	15.4	22.3	1.7	31.3	121.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +53.4%

PHI -3.9%

PHI -10.7%

CHI +11.7%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.8	15.5	103.4	98.9	100.9
season	16.4	15.7		95.2	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	13.3	18.4	15.7	16.0
PHI	17.3	16.2	16.7	17.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	66	65	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.54	12	-6	18	15.5	17.2	-1.70	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Fred Hoiberg	68	65	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.44	14	-8	22	16.1	15.6	0.50	17.8	13.7	4.15
Elton Brand	70	68	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.47	12	-6	18	16.2	14.9	1.28	17.0	16.2	0.80
Marcus Fizer	44	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	1	4	14.5	17.4	-2.97	16.0	17.6	-1.64
A.J. Guyton	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	7	-8	16.1	15.1	0.96	16.5	18.7	-2.19
Brad Miller	44	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	7	-8	17.5	14.4	3.10	17.6	16.0	1.58
Corey Benjamin	35	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	7	-8	15.4	16.3	-0.91	15.4	17.6	-2.20
Dalibor Bagaric	20	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	10	-14	14.8	16.3	-1.43	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Steve Goodrich	23	22	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.21	-6	12	-18	17.2	15.5	1.70	16.9	16.8	0.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	19	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-8	10	17.8	16.5	1.36	17.6	15.5	2.13
Aaron McKie	41	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	17.0	16.6	0.46	17.7	14.4	3.24
Eric Snow	41	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	17.0	16.6	0.46	17.7	14.4	3.24
Pepe Sanchez	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.9	17.1	-3.23	16.2	15.9	0.32
Raja Bell	11	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-4	2	12.5	17.4	-4.85	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Jumaine Jones	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	16.2	19.2	-2.95	15.5	17.9	-2.38
Matt Geiger	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-7	8	16.7	16.9	-0.16	17.1	12.6	4.57
Todd MacCulloch	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	16.2	17.7	-1.46	14.7	17.8	-3.15
Rodney Buford	37	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	0	-6	17.0	16.6	0.38	13.7	17.7	-3.98
Kevin Ollie	37	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	1	-8	17.2	16.5	0.76	14.1	17.4	-3.39
George Lynch	51	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	5	-16	18.4	14.6	3.80	16.6	15.1	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.46,0.71,0.67,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, PHX 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.9%
UTA 93, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.27,0	89.7%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	89.5%