NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	7.2 [357]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +20.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	3.5 [214]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -29.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.01	10	85%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	15	55%	0.14	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
John Stockton	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0,0	-0.05	0.05	0.00	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.01	5	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.02	8	61%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.15	0.02	6	67%	0.02	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.20	-0.00	15	38%	-0.24	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.3	23.5	15.4	23.5	2.3	29.7	118.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.7%

POR -0.3%

POR -12.0%

UTA +15.4%

UTA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.8	17.9	15.5	112.0	106.0	101.6
season	16.3	16.0		103.1	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	17.5	17.6	17.7	16.8
POR	18.7	15.3	19.4	18.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	68	67	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.44	13	-8	21	16.2	19.7	-3.46	19.0	13.1	5.95
Matt Harpring	51	51	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.51	9	-4	13	16.3	17.7	-1.44	19.3	15.6	3.75
John Stockton	55	54	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-6	17	16.0	18.4	-2.36	19.3	15.2	4.09
Andrei Kirilenko	50	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-4	13	17.3	16.1	1.28	16.1	20.4	-4.26
Greg Ostertag	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	9	-13	17.3	15.6	1.69	18.0	17.6	0.31
Tony Massenburg	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	-4	13	15.6	17.3	-1.69	17.6	18.0	-0.31
Mark Jackson	28	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	11	-17	18.4	16.0	2.36	15.2	19.3	-4.09
Calbert Cheaney	65	66	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.07	-8	13	-21	16.9	16.7	0.21	18.0	17.2	0.87
Scott Padgett	15	16	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.08	-8	13	-21	19.7	16.2	3.46	13.1	19.0	-5.95

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	27	28	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.08	6	-11	17	15.7	18.9	-3.21	18.1	16.2	1.93
Jeff McInnis	37	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-6	7	15.8	19.5	-3.76	17.2	16.5	0.61
Ruben Patterson	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-1	-3	14.2	19.0	-4.74	17.6	16.6	1.04
Qyntel Woods	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	18.6	17.8	0.77	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Antonio Daniels	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-13	21	19.1	17.1	2.05	17.6	16.3	1.29
Derek Anderson	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	18.1	17.3	0.80	16.0	18.3	-2.33
Bonzi Wells	57	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-4	3	17.8	18.1	-0.36	17.6	15.3	2.22
Damon Stoudamire	46	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	1	-7	19.5	15.8	3.76	16.5	17.2	-0.61
Rasheed Wallace	73	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	4	-13	17.9	17.5	0.42	16.6	18.6	-1.93
Dale Davis	63	62	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.41	-11	6	-17	19.0	14.3	4.63	16.1	19.1	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.04,0	91.7%
HOU 112, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.42,0	90.3%
DEN 106, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.09,0.16,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.16,0.09,0	90.2%