NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	8.1 [187]		MVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): +44.6%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.4 [449]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -13.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45	0.14	0.30	-0.00	14	74%	0.53	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Chase Budinger	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	8	94%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	11	73%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jordan Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.14	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.05
Patrick Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Courtney Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.11,-0.1	0.07	-0.16	0.01	14	57%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33	0.33	0.22	0.11	0.00	15	79%	0.33	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.12	0.01	5	83%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	16	72%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	78%	0.18	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	11	45%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.0	22.6	15.7	26.3	1.8	30.0	123.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.2%

HOU +5.0%

HOU +12.7%

NJN -14.9%

NJN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	17.7	15.6	131.8	124.7	102.8
season	15.4	16.2		103.5	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.6	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	18.5	17.0	14.1	16.1
NJN	17.4	19.4	16.5	17.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	66	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-8	22	15.7	17.7	-2.06	18.0	17.0	0.95
Courtney Lee	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-3	12	16.5	15.5	1.08	17.6	18.0	-0.46
Chandler Parsons	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	3	0	15.4	17.4	-2.00	17.9	17.5	0.32
Patrick Patterson	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	16.1	16.2	-0.09	17.1	18.5	-1.37
Luis Scola	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	15.8	16.9	-1.04	17.7	17.8	-0.15
Chase Budinger	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	16.5	15.9	0.53	17.3	18.0	-0.66
Samuel Dalembert	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	17.0	15.1	1.87	18.9	16.4	2.44
Kevin Martin	32	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	15.5	16.5	-1.08	18.0	17.6	0.46
Jordan Hill	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	7	-8	16.7	16.0	0.71	16.9	17.9	-1.00
Jonny Flynn	19	19	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	14	-22	17.7	15.7	2.06	17.0	18.0	-0.95

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	38	40	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-11	16	16.0	19.2	-3.20	16.4	15.9	0.49
Sundiata Gaines	26	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-13	20	15.0	18.9	-3.89	17.6	15.4	2.24
Jordan Williams	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	25.5	17.6	7.95	16.5	16.1	0.37
Gerald Green	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-7	8	15.9	19.7	-3.85	15.4	17.0	-1.56
Anthony Morrow	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	16.7	18.6	-1.86	15.7	16.5	-0.88
MarShon Brooks	55	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-4	2	18.7	16.0	2.69	16.4	15.7	0.69
DeShawn Stevenson	34	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	7	-20	19.6	16.5	3.03	16.5	15.9	0.53
Kris Humphries	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	17.6	18.2	-0.61	16.5	14.8	1.73
Shelden Williams	62	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	6	-18	18.8	14.8	4.00	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Jordan Farmar	59	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	7	-20	18.9	15.0	3.89	15.4	17.6	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.57,0.53,0	91.4%
UTA 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.41,0	91.1%
IND 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.08,0	90.6%