NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	7.4 [351]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +27.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	2.6 [287]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -14.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.18	0.01	17	71%	0.37	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	5	83%	0.18	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	15	60%	0.14	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	12	33%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	14	61%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	6%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	13	46%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.2	14.8	27.2	2.3	31.5	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.0%

IND +2.0%

IND +11.8%

PHI -3.3%

IND +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.5	118.1	109.6	105.7
season	14.7	15.5		103.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	15.3	15.9	15.2	15.2
PHI	15.8	14.7	14.7	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	81	81	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.27	21	-13	34	15.3	14.5	0.81	15.7	14.2	1.45
Jeff Foster	45	47	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-9	26	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.6	14.4	2.19
Mike Dunleavy	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	0	8	15.2	14.7	0.51	15.6	14.2	1.43
Brandon Rush	57	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	14.7	15.8	-1.12	16.2	14.3	1.81
Darren Collison	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	15.3	14.8	0.51	15.7	14.9	0.75
Paul George	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.86	13.1	15.7	-2.57
T.J. Ford	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	6	-4	14.8	15.3	-0.51	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Roy Hibbert	49	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	17	-26	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Tyler Hansbrough	52	50	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	-0.06	-14	22	-36	15.5	14.7	0.76	14.5	16.6	-2.13

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	50	50	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-19	30	15.3	15.7	-0.38	15.3	15.0	0.39
Andres Nocioni	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-12	16	13.4	15.6	-2.20	18.2	15.0	3.21
Thaddeus Young	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Jodie Meeks	61	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-4	0	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.3	14.9	0.35
Andre Iguodala	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-4	0	15.3	16.0	-0.77	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Spencer Hawes	11	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	3	-14	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.5	15.4	-1.83
Lou Williams	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	1	-10	15.6	15.4	0.28	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Evan Turner	50	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	16.2	14.7	1.54	15.5	14.8	0.78
Elton Brand	71	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-4	0	15.8	14.4	1.38	15.1	15.2	-0.05
Jrue Holiday	73	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.45	-11	3	-14	15.6	15.1	0.43	15.2	14.8	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	91.8%
WAS 76, TOR 74	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.17,0	90.7%
IND 89, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.08,0	90.7%