NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	7.9 [276]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +19.1%
New York Knicks	81		Comeback	2.9 [273]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -23.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.19	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.02	15	59%	0.29	3	-0.10	11	55%	0.01
Chris Taft	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	83%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Aaron Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	17	41%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	15	45%	0.03	1	-0.09	8	62%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Jerome James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	39%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.10	0.04	8	25%	-0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	30.5	15.8	26.4	2.3	33.4	138.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +80.2%

GSW +5.5%

NYK -31.0%

NYK -3.1%

NYK -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.6	87.4	85.3	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		102.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	15.2	14.7	15.2	14.5
NYK	14.0	14.8	18.9	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	71	70	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-7	16	14.6	14.4	0.17	16.5	13.8	2.73
Jason Richardson	69	70	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-8	18	14.1	15.7	-1.63	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Troy Murphy	85	84	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-5	12	14.5	14.7	-0.17	15.9	14.7	1.18
Adonal Foyle	46	48	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-11	24	15.2	13.9	1.34	17.9	13.6	4.26
Mike Dunleavy	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	6	-10	14.7	14.1	0.61	16.1	15.0	1.07
Mickael Pietrus	48	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	13.8	15.3	-1.49	13.7	17.8	-4.05
Zarko Cabarkapa	21	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	0	2	13.6	14.8	-1.25	16.1	15.7	0.48
Chris Taft	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	15	-28	15.0	14.4	0.59	14.6	16.3	-1.65
Aaron Miles	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	18.8	14.3	4.49	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Derek Fisher	34	34	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	8	-14	14.8	14.4	0.38	14.7	16.4	-1.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	34	35	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.08	13	-15	28	14.8	16.3	-1.56	15.0	14.3	0.67
Channing Frye	49	49	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-13	24	14.5	17.1	-2.56	14.4	14.7	-0.33
Trevor Ariza	55	55	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-8	14	15.3	16.4	-1.05	14.9	14.1	0.73
Eddy Curry	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-3	4	17.1	15.1	1.97	14.0	14.8	-0.87
David Lee	33	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-2	2	15.4	16.0	-0.53	16.6	13.3	3.30
Jamal Crawford	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	0	-2	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Jerome James	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	4	-10	15.3	15.9	-0.60	15.2	14.4	0.78
Matt Barnes	41	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	17.4	14.5	2.85	15.0	14.2	0.72
Malik Rose	7	6	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	21.9	15.3	6.57	14.7	14.5	0.13
Stephon Marbury	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.53	-1	-1	0	16.1	14.2	1.91	14.9	12.9	2.00
Antonio Davis	58	58	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	6	-14	15.7	15.9	-0.25	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Quentin Richardson	41	41	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	11	-24	15.2	16.2	-0.97	12.6	16.1	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.05,0	92.1%
UTA 102, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.69,0.49,0.67,0.62,0.39,0.23,0.08,0	92.1%
TOR 94, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.8%