NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	127		Excitement	7.6 [377]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): +69.7%
Brooklyn Nets	125		Comeback	57.1 [48]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -9.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.70	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.7	0.24	0.54	0.08	20	72%	0.77	1	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.42	0.10	0.35	0.03	19	64%	0.52	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.07
Landry Shamet	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.04	7	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.21,0.07	0.00	0.08	0.02	14	47%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.17	0.03	15	86%	0.45	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.25	0.25	-0.04	0.28	-0.01	10	45%	0.29	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.03	0.02	28	63%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	11	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.07
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	125%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.5	27.5	15.3	26.7	0.7	36.4	135.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.2%

PHI +29.1%

PHI +4.9%

PHI +11.2%

BKN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.3	124.5	125.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.3		110.9	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.1		109.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	14.0	13.7	14.6	13.9
BKN	15.0	12.2	14.0	18.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	67	68	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-9	20	13.8	13.9	-0.12	15.6	12.6	3.08
Ben Simmons	83	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-7	16	13.4	15.9	-2.50	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Joel Embiid	75	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-9	20	13.9	13.9	-0.04	15.4	12.4	3.02
Jimmy Butler	77	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-4	10	14.4	12.4	1.99	15.2	13.1	2.14
Wilson Chandler	77	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-2	6	13.7	14.5	-0.82	14.5	15.2	-0.72
T.J. McConnell	37	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	7	-12	14.8	13.3	1.53	15.1	14.4	0.62
Furkan Korkmaz	16	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	12	-22	13.2	14.0	-0.80	12.8	15.0	-2.21
Mike Muscala	35	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	15	-28	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Landry Shamet	43	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.15	-3	5	-8	13.6	14.0	-0.41	12.8	16.0	-3.19

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	27	27	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-4	6	16.2	14.1	2.09	14.5	13.6	0.89
Ed Davis	20	21	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.04	2	-4	6	15.1	14.5	0.55	15.1	13.5	1.55
Shabazz Napier	28	29	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-2	2	16.0	14.1	1.91	14.6	13.6	1.06
DeMarre Carroll	38	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-3	4	14.6	14.7	-0.09	13.8	13.9	-0.11
D'Angelo Russell	70	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-1	0	15.3	13.3	1.99	14.5	12.4	2.03
Allen Crabbe	53	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-7	12	13.8	15.7	-1.93	13.5	14.4	-0.88
Jarrett Allen	77	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.5	-1.06	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	2	-6	13.9	15.8	-1.94	13.2	14.9	-1.67
Joe Harris	64	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	14.4	15.1	-0.75	13.2	15.0	-1.81
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	62	63	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.61	-7	5	-12	14.7	14.6	0.09	14.0	13.6	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.41,0	93.6%
CLE 87, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.86,0.15,0	93.5%
MEM 91, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0	93.3%