NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	5.9 [653]		MVP	Al Thornton (LAC): +43.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	83.8 [42]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -33.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.3	-0.13	0.42	-0.00	17	36%	0.39	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15,0.15	-0.00	0.16	0.00	6	42%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.13,0.07	0.01	0.08	0.02	23	52%	0.14	4	-0.07	16	75%	0.05
Joe Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.43	0.43	0.09	0.33	-0.01	15	57%	0.43	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.04	12	46%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	16	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	3	-0.19	6	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	11	27%	-0.08	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	28.2	15.8	26.1	2.5	37.0	138.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.4%

CLE +0.6%

LAC -2.9%

CLE +32.5%

LAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.5	92.6	88.3	106.4
season	16.9	15.7		110.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.8	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	16.9	15.4	15.4	15.5
LAC	13.1	15.8	15.2	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	31	32	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.61	4	0	4	14.1	16.3	-2.19	17.0	14.1	2.82
Daniel Gibson	45	46	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-10	24	14.8	16.2	-1.40	16.7	13.5	3.20
Mo Williams	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-6	16	15.9	13.5	2.46	15.1	15.0	0.13
Anderson Varejao	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.47	5	-1	6	16.4	13.0	3.39	15.1	15.0	0.15
LeBron James	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.7	19.1	-4.39
Sasha Pavlovic	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	11	-18	13.6	15.9	-2.37	11.6	15.8	-4.20
JJ Hickson	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	13.6	15.8	-2.16	15.5	15.0	0.50
Wally Szczerbiak	20	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	7	-10	12.5	16.3	-3.79	15.5	15.0	0.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	57	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.26	4	0	4	16.4	14.1	2.39	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Delonte West	55	54	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	15	-26	16.2	14.5	1.70	14.2	16.3	-2.08

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	30	29	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.23	-4	0	-4	16.1	14.7	1.41	13.2	16.6	-3.36
Steve Novak	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-13	22	16.4	14.9	1.55	12.1	16.1	-4.01
Fred Jones	28	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.16	-5	1	-6	15.7	14.9	0.81	16.0	15.4	0.60
Marcus Camby	51	49	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-2	0	16.3	13.7	2.51	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Mardy Collins	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	0.0	15.3	-15.27	8.0	15.6	-7.61
Chris Kaman	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	4	-12	15.3	14.9	0.40	16.2	14.5	1.68
Al Thornton	78	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-5	6	14.8	16.6	-1.83	15.7	14.7	0.96
Eric Gordon	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	14.5	18.5	-4.08	15.4	16.4	-1.05
Baron Davis	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	-2	0	14.4	16.6	-2.19	16.3	13.7	2.64
Zach Randolph	67	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.57	-2	-2	0	15.2	15.0	0.20	16.6	12.7	3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.86,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0	93.6%
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	93.5%
BKN 123, SAC 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.78,0.19,0	93.3%