NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	5.9 [627]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (DAL): +48.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	44.7 [12]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.49	0.10	0.39	-0.00	10	75%	0.51	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17	-0.01	0.18	0.01	22	50%	0.18	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	13	68%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	18	53%	-0.04	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.08	-0.03	11	64%	0.17	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.10
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	17	59%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	86%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	14	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	15	45%	-0.10	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	30.3	16.0	26.2	1.7	37.2	137.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.2%

DAL +13.5%

DAL +10.1%

MIN -7.5%

MIN -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.6	117.6	113.2	102.3
season	14.8	15.0		109.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.5		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.6	14.4	16.2	13.0	15.4
MIN	15.7	16.3	16.5	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	35	38	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.31	22	-18	40	14.5	16.1	-1.60	16.7	15.9	0.77
Tim Hardaway	48	48	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-11	26	14.4	16.6	-2.16	16.5	15.9	0.57
Michael Finley	87	87	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-7	18	15.4	15.7	-0.32	16.0	21.5	-5.53
Dirk Nowitzki	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	15.3	17.3	-2.03	16.4	13.0	3.44
Steve Nash	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	3	-2	15.3	16.5	-1.19	16.1	16.8	-0.66
Danny Manning	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	2	0	14.1	15.7	-1.64	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Wang Zhi-zhi	7	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	11	-18	16.9	15.3	1.54	11.9	16.6	-4.71
Donnell Harvey	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	8	-12	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.7	16.1	0.53
Evan Eschmeyer	19	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	13	-22	17.9	14.8	3.17	16.1	16.2	-0.18
Adrian Griffin	17	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	16.9	15.1	1.85	17.1	16.0	1.04
Juwan Howard	49	49	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	15	-26	16.5	14.2	2.32	16.1	16.3	-0.14

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	52	53	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-15	26	16.2	16.3	-0.08	16.2	14.4	1.75
Gary Trent	37	36	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-14	24	17.2	15.5	1.70	17.0	14.4	2.58
Sam Mitchell	19	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-8	12	14.7	16.6	-1.93	14.6	15.6	-1.03
William Avery	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.11	-3	-1	-2	15.3	16.4	-1.05	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Chauncey Billups	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-4	4	16.2	16.4	-0.26	15.4	15.9	-0.56
Wally Szczerbiak	78	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	6	-16	16.1	16.8	-0.65	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Kevin Garnett	78	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	4	-12	16.4	15.2	1.14	15.9	12.4	3.56
Joe Smith	50	51	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	8	-20	17.0	15.2	1.84	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Anthony Peeler	49	47	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	8	-20	15.4	17.1	-1.65	13.8	17.2	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.57,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	93.6%
LAC 135, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.88,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.58,0	92.6%
PHI 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	92.5%