NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	116		Excitement	11.2 [49]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +22.8%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	4.3 [386]		LVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): -19.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	7	87%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Harry Giles III	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	5	77%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Justin Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	63%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.23,0.31,0.21,0.09	0.14	-0.05	-0.01	21	65%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04	0.05	-0.09	0.00	15	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.08
De'Aaron Fox	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.08	-0.15	0.07	-0.00	14	28%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.09
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	9	30%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	26	57%	0.26	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	26	64%	0.35	7	-0.21	17	94%	0.14
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	28.6	15.4	25.6	2.4	33.7	135.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.2%

GSW +2.8%

GSW +16.5%

SAC -23.5%

GSW +27.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	12.5	15.0	14.3	110.5	112.5	109.3
season	13.3	13.4		109.2	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.3		108.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.1	12.9	12.1	13.2	12.5
GSW	13.1	13.3	15.1	19.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	61	62	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.06	12	-13	25	11.8	13.5	-1.70	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Harry Giles III	21	22	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.07	5	-6	11	14.4	12.1	2.37	15.7	14.9	0.87
Frank Mason	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-1	1	14.4	12.2	2.17	11.6	15.7	-4.03
Troy Williams	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	13.1	12.4	0.63	11.2	15.8	-4.68
Justin Jackson	46	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	0	-1	12.3	12.7	-0.37	13.4	16.2	-2.82
Nemanja Bjelica	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	6	-13	12.4	12.6	-0.21	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Buddy Hield	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	0	-1	13.0	11.7	1.27	15.9	13.2	2.63
Marvin Bagley III	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	11.9	14.2	-2.33	15.3	14.4	0.97
Iman Shumpert	58	57	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	13.0	12.0	1.04	15.9	14.0	1.93
De'Aaron Fox	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.55	-2	1	-3	12.0	13.7	-1.71	15.7	13.6	2.09
Willie Cauley-Stein	41	41	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	10	-21	12.8	12.4	0.37	16.9	13.8	3.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	66	67	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.54	12	-11	23	16.2	13.1	3.09	13.0	11.8	1.17
Klay Thompson	79	80	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-12	25	15.4	13.9	1.53	12.1	14.0	-1.92
Damian Jones	44	44	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.33	14	-13	27	15.8	14.5	1.35	13.5	11.8	1.70
Kevin Durant	86	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	15.5	12.7	2.80	12.8	11.2	1.68
Kevon Looney	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	1	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.38	10.5	13.4	-2.86
Quinn Cook	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	-4	9	16.5	13.2	3.34	13.3	11.6	1.71
Jacob Evans	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	4	-7	2.0	15.2	-13.17	23.0	12.4	10.57
Damion Lee	36	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	8	-15	13.3	16.0	-2.69	12.9	12.3	0.61
Shaun Livingston	38	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	12	-23	13.1	16.2	-3.09	11.8	13.0	-1.17
Jonas Jerebko	52	50	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.15	-8	9	-17	13.5	16.6	-3.08	11.4	13.6	-2.24
Jordan Bell	29	30	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.04	-13	14	-27	14.1	15.4	-1.25	13.2	12.3	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.84,1	90.6%
SEA 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.57,0.57,0.84,1	90.5%
IND 90, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	90.5%