NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	100		Excitement	9.9 [66]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +38.6%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	2.5 [657]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): -25.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.00	9	40%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.13	-0.05	0.00	33	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	11	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.03
Daniel Santiago	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	5	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	0.00	6	17%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.39	0.39	0.04	0.34	-0.00	19	56%	0.48	1	-0.09	5	60%	-0.12
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02	2	-0.04	14	71%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	0.00	19	55%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	13	38%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	2	29%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	33.3	15.7	25.9	1.6	35.4	136.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +78.1%

NOH +3.7%

MIL -20.3%

MIL -10.9%

MIL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOH	NBA	MIL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.7	107.5	108.6	100.5
season	15.3	16.0		103.6	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		99.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	14.5	18.7	16.0	15.9
NOH	14.5	15.5	14.9	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	31	29	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.02	5	-6	11	16.1	15.8	0.29	16.3	14.5	1.81
Daniel Santiago	15	14	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-3	5	14.0	16.3	-2.31	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Tim Thomas	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	15.0	16.6	-1.58	15.4	14.7	0.70
Toni Kukoc	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-7	13	15.3	16.4	-1.06	15.9	14.3	1.60
T.J. Ford	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	6	-13	16.7	15.3	1.37	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Damon Jones	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-7	13	15.3	16.7	-1.37	15.4	14.6	0.84
Brian Skinner	47	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	7	-15	16.4	15.4	0.99	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Desmond Mason	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-1	1	16.3	15.1	1.18	15.2	14.6	0.64
Michael Redd	85	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	16.1	14.5	1.57	14.7	18.6	-3.93
Joe Smith	52	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.52	-7	6	-13	16.4	15.3	1.06	14.1	16.3	-2.27

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	78	79	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.52	8	-7	15	14.2	19.3	-5.13	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Baron Davis	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.57	6	-5	11	14.6	18.4	-3.78	15.9	16.5	-0.69
Jamal Mashburn	66	64	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	-1	3	15.4	14.1	1.35	15.4	17.2	-1.85
George Lynch	20	20	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	-3	7	13.9	15.3	-1.38	16.8	15.7	1.10
Jamaal Magloire	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	-2	5	14.5	16.7	-2.22	16.8	13.1	3.67
Darrell Armstrong	68	70	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	-1	3	15.2	14.6	0.59	16.0	15.7	0.32
Stacey Augmon	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.30	-9	10	-19	14.6	15.2	-0.63	16.7	15.5	1.21
Sean Rooks	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	1	-1	21.0	14.5	6.45	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Steven Smith	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	3	-5	16.5	14.8	1.75	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Robert Traylor	29	29	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.09	-9	10	-19	17.6	13.9	3.76	14.2	16.7	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.34,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.67,0.92,1	91.0%
DAL 93, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.84,1	90.9%
SAC 116, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.43,0.73,1	90.6%