NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	8.7 [153]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +22.2%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.8 [890]		LVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): -20.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	2	125%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	14	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.13	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Josh McRoberts	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Paul George	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.10	-0.06	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	12	23%	-0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.20	0.01	25	57%	0.46	6	-0.24	13	92%	0.07
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	12	52%	0.07	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	13	41%	0.04	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.03	-0.00	10	19%	-0.10	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	3.4	33.3	18.8	29.0	2.8	48.2	165.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.2%

CHI +12.8%

CHI +32.7%

IND -12.3%

IND -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.5	93.8	99.0	105.7
season	14.7	15.7		103.1	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		99.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	14.4	13.8	16.8	15.1
CHI	16.3	14.4	13.9	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	17	18	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-13	20	15.8	15.0	0.79	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Mike Dunleavy	26	26	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.02	9	-15	24	15.8	14.9	0.95	13.9	15.0	-1.16
Jeff Foster	34	34	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.14	12	-18	30	14.6	15.4	-0.86	16.0	14.0	2.00
Darren Collison	27	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-12	18	14.8	15.2	-0.47	17.1	13.7	3.43
Brandon Rush	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-6	6	17.1	14.3	2.86	13.1	15.4	-2.33
Josh McRoberts	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	15.4	15.0	0.45	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Tyler Hansbrough	80	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.2	-0.16	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Paul George	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	5	-16	14.4	17.0	-2.59	15.0	14.0	1.04
Roy Hibbert	41	43	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	10	-26	15.9	14.6	1.29	15.4	14.2	1.19
Danny Granger	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	6	-18	14.5	16.8	-2.37	15.1	13.7	1.37
A.J. Price	52	50	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.34	-19	13	-32	15.1	15.2	-0.08	13.5	16.1	-2.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	57	59	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.38	12	-6	18	15.3	14.0	1.29	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Carlos Boozer	83	81	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-6	18	15.1	12.4	2.78	15.0	15.5	-0.42
Luol Deng	80	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-7	20	14.6	15.1	-0.47	14.6	17.6	-2.94
Derrick Rose	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-5	16	14.8	14.5	0.25	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Kyle Korver	42	42	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	15.1	14.4	0.68	16.5	14.1	2.38
Keith Bogans	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-2	10	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.5	14.9	0.59
CJ Watson	18	16	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.09	-3	9	-12	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.9	14.9	0.99
Omer Asik	3	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	14.7	14.7	-0.07	19.5	14.9	4.58
Taj Gibson	27	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	13.3	15.3	-1.99	15.7	14.9	0.74
Kurt Thomas	23	22	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	13	-20	14.0	14.9	-0.90	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Ronnie Brewer	34	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.04	-14	20	-34	14.1	15.1	-0.95	14.2	15.6	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	91.9%
MIA 109, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.91,1	91.8%
LAC 90, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1	91.6%