NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	9.5 [77]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +30.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	3.9 [628]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -45.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.10	0.20	-0.01	9	72%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	22	57%	0.08	2	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	7	33%	-0.15	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ray Allen	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.29,-0.46	-0.07	-0.38	0.00	25	39%	-0.43	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	20	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	15	93%	0.13
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	11	31%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	12	50%	-0.15	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	14	41%	-0.08	1	-0.14	6	100%	0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.8	14.8	29.4	1.6	39.0	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -35.7%

CLE +49.6%

CLE +46.4%

SEA -8.3%

SEA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CLE	NBA	SEA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.7	106.8	111.2	100.5
season	15.6	15.7		105.0	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.9	16.4	16.8	16.4	16.6
CLE	16.6	15.7	16.7	14.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	17	18	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-10	15	12.2	17.6	-5.40	17.6	15.5	2.01
Antonio Daniels	54	54	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.34	13	-18	31	15.1	19.0	-3.93	17.1	14.1	2.99
Ronald Murray	25	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-6	7	13.6	17.8	-4.18	18.0	15.1	2.83
Richie Frahm	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	13.1	16.9	-3.81	17.3	15.8	1.53
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-9	13	14.8	19.8	-5.01	15.4	17.0	-1.63
Brent Barry	27	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	18.5	15.8	2.73	13.6	17.2	-3.54
Luke Ridnour	7	7	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	3	-11	21.0	16.2	4.79	11.1	16.4	-5.22
Ray Allen	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	17.1	11.8	5.36	15.9	16.5	-0.67
Calvin Booth	50	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	4	-13	17.4	15.6	1.83	17.3	14.2	3.10
Rashard Lewis	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	3	-11	17.4	13.9	3.42	15.5	17.5	-1.99
Jerome James	48	45	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	10	-25	19.5	13.0	6.49	14.8	17.1	-2.25

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	74	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-9	23	15.6	17.9	-2.30	17.2	13.6	3.59
Kevin Ollie	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-5	15	15.1	18.6	-3.50	17.5	14.0	3.45
Tony Battie	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	16.0	15.7	0.36	17.5	12.8	4.67
Darius Miles	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	5	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.73	14.8	17.7	-2.88
Dajuan Wagner	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	16.1	15.8	0.28	14.6	18.9	-4.32
Kedrick Brown	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-3	11	16.2	15.8	0.40	18.9	14.8	4.10
Eric Williams	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	3	-1	16.6	15.2	1.45	18.8	13.9	4.89
Jason Kapono	16	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.6	15.6	2.04	11.9	17.5	-5.54
DeSagana Diop	15	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	11	-17	18.5	15.4	3.02	13.3	17.3	-3.93
Ira Newble	34	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	14	-23	15.5	16.2	-0.69	13.8	18.2	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.57,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.92,1	91.2%
DAL 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.98,1	91.2%
TOR 106, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.68,0.91,1	91.2%