NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	8.9 [157]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +18.3%
Denver Nuggets	112		Comeback	3.4 [710]		LVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): -29.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.00	16	62%	0.28	2	-0.11	16	94%	0.10
Chris Bosh	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.21	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.07
Matt Bonner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	15	39%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Jerome Moiso	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.2,-0.2	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	2	67%	-0.05	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.20	-0.03	16	35%	-0.17	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.00	8	58%	0.25	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.07
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	4	92%	0.16	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	12	52%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	23	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.10
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.20	0.01	18	58%	-0.06	6	-0.23	16	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	33.4	15.8	26.1	1.7	36.0	141.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +44.5%

TOR -3.6%

DEN +2.2%

DEN +10.7%

TOR -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DEN	NBA	TOR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.5	110.4	117.9	104.0
season	15.1	14.8		104.8	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	12.5	16.4	16.1	14.8
DEN	14.3	16.3	14.2	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	18	17	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.05	11	-17	28	11.2	15.7	-4.43	17.0	15.0	2.03
Lamond Murray	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-11	16	11.4	15.7	-4.24	16.9	14.9	1.95
Morris Peterson	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-8	10	14.7	14.9	-0.20	16.6	14.7	1.94
Jerome Moiso	47	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-15	24	14.1	15.5	-1.32	15.3	15.4	-0.11
Matt Bonner	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-16	26	13.5	15.7	-2.25	15.6	15.1	0.49
Loren Woods	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	6	-18	15.8	14.3	1.42	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Vince Carter	80	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	3	-12	15.1	13.4	1.74	14.4	19.8	-5.39
Chris Bosh	55	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	11	-28	16.3	12.8	3.52	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Jalen Rose	79	79	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	6	-18	15.0	13.9	1.14	15.5	14.7	0.71
Rafer Alston	78	78	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.27	-17	11	-28	15.7	11.2	4.43	15.0	17.0	-2.03

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	79	80	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.35	17	-11	28	15.5	14.5	1.01	15.4	11.9	3.54
Carmelo Anthony	81	83	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-11	28	15.2	15.9	-0.69	15.4	10.8	4.60
Greg Buckner	58	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	14.7	16.3	-1.53	15.7	13.4	2.35
Andre Miller	63	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-4	14	15.7	14.6	1.07	15.5	13.3	2.22
Earl Boykins	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	7	-8	15.0	15.6	-0.68	13.6	15.7	-2.16
Francisco Elson	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-2	10	14.4	16.1	-1.76	16.4	13.5	2.84
Bryon Russell	29	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	15.7	15.2	0.46	12.3	15.9	-3.55
DerMarr Johnson	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	11	-16	15.9	14.9	1.00	13.0	16.1	-3.13
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	18	18	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	19	-32	16.6	15.0	1.57	12.6	15.3	-2.79
Rodney White	22	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	16	-26	15.7	15.2	0.51	13.4	15.2	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 85, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.45,0.76,0.9,1	91.5%
SEA 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.57,0.57,0.84,1	91.2%
MIA 89, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.96,1	91.1%