inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 100 Excitement4.2 [1003] MVPWesley Matthews (DAL): +14.1%
Dallas Mavericks 119 Comeback1.0 [736] LVPMarkieff Morris (WAS): -6.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.0.110,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.16-0.010.041279%0.1100.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.04-0.03480%0.112-0.02250%-0.01
Bradley Beal0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.031750%0.062-0.044100%0.01
Jason Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.01557%0.021-0.01450%-0.02
Thomas Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Brown Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02757%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tomas Satoransky-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
John Wall-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.022050%0.012-0.03875%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.011030%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04825%-0.022-0.0400%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.170.000.041471%0.1400.003100%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.01592%0.102-0.032100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.021361%0.092-0.035100%0.02
Luka Doncic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.021666%0.114-0.063100%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02567%0.072-0.022100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.01458%0.071-0.03475%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.011458%0.043-0.025100%0.02
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01753%0.032-0.031100%0.01
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.03420%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jalen Brunson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.527.314.427.42.333.5132.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +18.9%
DAL +18.3%
DAL +15.9%
WAS -7.2%
DAL +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game14.314.514.3100.0119.0109.3
season13.814.7109.8108.5
opponent14.114.3109.7112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.214.713.913.414.3
DAL12.513.616.116.014.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Bryant330.00-0.500.500.000-19198.314.5-6.1617.014.42.59
Troy Brown Jr.330.00-0.500.500.000-19198.314.5-6.1617.014.42.59
Jason Smith108-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-13715.814.11.6614.114.5-0.40
Tomas Satoransky1210-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-11318.713.74.9513.514.6-1.10
Jeff Green3130-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-13715.413.81.6114.114.6-0.51
Otto Porter Jr.7980-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-13713.816.3-2.5014.613.90.68
Markieff Morris4850-0.24-0.260.030.20-15-4-1113.015.5-2.5614.214.8-0.58
Austin Rivers3636-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-14916.213.22.9414.914.30.62
Dwight Howard6970-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-6-713.815.4-1.6114.614.10.51
Kelly Oubre Jr.4746-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-9-115.613.22.3513.915.0-1.11
Bradley Beal7777-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-4-1114.115.1-1.0114.614.00.69
John Wall8587-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-8-313.916.6-2.6914.514.30.21

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorian Finney-Smith56570.50-0.000.50-0.0920-12114.314.7-0.4215.812.33.56
Maxi Kleber34340.330.170.160.01118314.814.30.5113.414.8-1.32
J.J. Barea32330.290.210.07-0.01109114.614.40.2016.113.42.70
DeAndre Jordan68680.260.240.02-0.12136714.514.40.1213.815.3-1.47
Wesley Matthews67660.250.250.010.08613-714.414.6-0.2213.815.3-1.49
Luka Doncic71700.250.25-0.01-0.08118314.514.50.0114.015.0-0.99
Dwight Powell31300.240.26-0.020.06613-714.314.6-0.2415.713.71.99
Dennis Smith Jr.67680.210.29-0.08-0.08109114.414.7-0.3113.615.8-2.21
Harrison Barnes65650.170.33-0.16-0.07811-314.314.9-0.6114.813.51.27
Jalen Brunson330.000.50-0.500.00019-1917.014.42.598.314.5-6.16
Salah Mejri330.000.50-0.500.00019-1917.014.42.598.314.5-6.16
Ryan Broekhoff330.000.50-0.500.00019-1917.014.42.598.314.5-6.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 94, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,195.4%
MEM 105, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.3%
HOU 105, DET 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,1,1,0.99,1,195.2%