inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 94 Excitement3.9 [1044] MVPJosh Howard (DAL): +12.6%
Dallas Mavericks 98 Comeback1.1 [1211] LVPLuol Deng (CHI): -9.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.021100%0.0200.002100%0.00
Andres Nocioni0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01-0.010.030.011350%0.052-0.042100%0.01
James Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02664%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Malik Allen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.020.040.000.062451%0.012-0.03786%0.02
Tyson Chandler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.010.04467%0.023-0.041060%-0.02
Ben Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.041250%-0.031-0.00450%-0.02
Jannero Pargo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04617%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.01536%-0.022-0.03475%-0.00
Luol Deng-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.05812%-0.072-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.011461%0.172-0.05875%0.01
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.01575%0.081-0.02683%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00460%0.0500.002100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.010.041368%0.053-0.045100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05433%0.022-0.021100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.00167%0.021-0.03450%-0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.020.001338%-0.011-0.028100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.01-0.071332%-0.032-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.330.516.526.51.033.2135.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +39.3%
DAL +1.6%
DAL +11.5%
CHI -3.9%
DAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDALNBACHIDALNBA
this game14.417.315.6103.3107.7104.4
season14.416.4102.6109.0
opponent15.616.1102.9102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI18.115.511.911.914.4
DAL15.313.920.919.417.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Thomas98-0.09-0.410.330.03-40-414.714.30.3510.717.9-7.18
Darius Songaila56-0.11-0.390.290.10-73-1021.413.97.4615.217.4-2.28
Luol Deng5153-0.13-0.370.24-0.337-111814.414.30.1418.016.41.59
Malik Allen1111-0.13-0.370.240.02-51-614.414.30.0113.317.8-4.58
Othella Harrington3031-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-2017.312.94.4018.516.61.90
Ben Gordon6362-0.20-0.300.10-0.417-111814.015.1-1.0418.315.23.07
Jannero Pargo2524-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-139-2214.014.5-0.4814.618.3-3.69
Kirk Hinrich7576-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.454-81214.214.9-0.7118.113.15.06
Andres Nocioni5856-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-1-212.916.9-3.9617.217.4-0.12
Tyson Chandler8282-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.453-71014.215.4-1.2117.713.74.03
Chris Duhon4646-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.20-73-1014.414.30.0816.118.5-2.36

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard71710.53-0.030.560.0616-122817.217.6-0.4515.310.84.49
Dirk Nowitzki70680.470.030.430.3540417.417.00.3214.514.00.47
Jason Terry68680.310.190.120.48-610-1619.012.36.6814.513.90.65
Keith Van Horn44440.310.190.11-0.0512-82016.618.0-1.3714.014.7-0.68
Adrian Griffin49470.290.210.070.40-48-1218.416.02.4115.013.61.38
Jerry Stackhouse49500.180.32-0.130.27-37-1015.919.0-3.0712.516.6-4.15
Devin Harris25250.160.34-0.17-0.016-2813.418.8-5.4313.314.8-1.48
DeSagana Diop36360.150.35-0.200.30-59-1418.316.61.7214.914.00.84
Erick Dampier25280.060.44-0.380.0313-217.117.4-0.3015.014.00.99
Marquis Daniels18180.050.45-0.400.08-15-617.317.3-0.0213.114.7-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 105, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,196.2%
OKC 118, PHX 1400.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ATL 85, CHI 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%